TOTAL VOLUME:

$134b

24H VOL:

$107,351,958

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,416,970,024

400,720

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30,097

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,633

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

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Politics
Oklahoma Republican Insurance Commissioner nominee?
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Oklahoma Republican Insurance Commissioner nominee?

Volume:
$3,368

Bob Sullivan

 - Kalshi

Bob Sullivan - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 26, 2026

Closed: Aug 26, 10:37 AM EST

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Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Bob Sullivan

View
100%
22%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$2,939
N/A
N/A
$2,209
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Marty Quinn

0%
16%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$429
N/A
N/A
$348
Settled
No
Total markets: 2

Description

Oklahoma Republicans will select their Insurance Commissioner nominee through a primary runoff between Bob Sullivan and Marty Quinn. The winner will advance to compete in the general election, carrying the Republican banner for this statewide office.

Kalshi

The event resolves to Yes if either Bob Sullivan or Marty Quinn wins the Oklahoma Republican runoff primary for Commissioner of Insurance. Determination may be accelerated following consensus media projection of the winner.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, this dashboard tracks real-time odds and price history for the Oklahoma GOP commissioner race, showing how traders value each candidate’s chances. It displays current top-outcome probabilities alongside 24-hour volume of $1,461 to reflect market activity. The chart illustrates recent fluctuations driven by news, polls, and campaign developments, giving you a live view of market sentiment as the primary approaches. With volume of $3,368 overall, the data offers insight into where speculative interest lies in this market.

This market resolves around Sep 15, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the primary election results are verifiable from credible public reporting. The winner of the Oklahoma Republican primary for Insurance Commissioner will be declared based on official vote tallies, and the market will close accordingly. Timing depends on when final, certified results are published, typically a few days after voting concludes.

Several events could shift this market in the coming weeks. Debates, endorsements from influential state figures, and emerging polling data often drive trader sentiment. Contenders gaining momentum after media coverage or grassroots support may see their odds rise. Conversely, controversies or fundraising shortfalls could push probabilities downward. As the primary nears, any surge in voter registration or campaign ad spending may also influence market prices.