TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$130,522,377

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,438,389,636

404,028

Markets across

30,214

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,681

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Oil Price (WTI) on Sep 4, 2026?
kalshi

Oil Price (WTI) on Sep 4, 2026?

Volume:
$349,218

$91.00 to $91.99

 - Kalshi

$91.00 to $91.99 - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 7, 2026

Closed: Sep 4, 2:30 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

$91.00 to $91.99

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$103,100
N/A
N/A
$46,485
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$90.00 to $90.99

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$45,637
N/A
N/A
$18,925
Settled
No
kalshi

Above $95.99

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$31,299
N/A
N/A
$22,730
Settled
No
kalshi

$92.00 to $92.99

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$30,840
N/A
N/A
$17,502
Settled
No
kalshi

$89.00 to $89.99

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$26,866
N/A
N/A
$12,615
Settled
No
kalshi

$88.00 to $88.99

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$24,745
N/A
N/A
$13,057
Settled
No
kalshi

$87.00 to $87.99

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$12,407
N/A
N/A
$7,785
Settled
No
kalshi

$93.00 to $93.99

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$10,948
N/A
N/A
$7,555
Settled
No
kalshi

$86.00 to $86.99

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$9,483
N/A
N/A
$6,433
Settled
No
kalshi

$95.00 to $95.99

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$9,024
N/A
N/A
$7,431
Settled
No
kalshi

$85.00 to $85.99

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$8,920
N/A
N/A
$6,279
Settled
No
kalshi

$94.00 to $94.99

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$8,206
N/A
N/A
$4,527
Settled
No
kalshi

$83.00 to $83.99

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$6,689
N/A
N/A
$5,094
Settled
No
kalshi

$84.00 to $84.99

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$6,221
N/A
N/A
$3,062
Settled
No
kalshi

$82.00 to $82.99

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$3,513
N/A
N/A
$3,149
Settled
No
kalshi

Below $71.00

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,964
N/A
N/A
$2,964
Settled
No
kalshi

$81.00 to $81.99

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,976
N/A
N/A
$1,649
Settled
No
kalshi

$80.00 to $80.99

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,515
N/A
N/A
$1,028
Settled
No
kalshi

$78.00 to $78.99

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,397
N/A
N/A
$1,240
Settled
No
kalshi

$79.00 to $79.99

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$954
N/A
N/A
$944
Settled
No
kalshi

$73.00 to $73.99

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$756
N/A
N/A
$756
Settled
No
kalshi

$72.00 to $72.99

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$709
N/A
N/A
$709
Settled
No
kalshi

$71.00 to $71.99

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$664
N/A
N/A
$664
Settled
No
kalshi

$77.00 to $77.99

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$147
N/A
N/A
$147
Settled
No
kalshi

$76.00 to $76.99

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$142
N/A
N/A
$142
Settled
No
Total markets: 25 of 27

Intro

This market tracks whether the WTI crude oil settlement price will be between 90.00 and 90.99 USD/Bbl on September 4, 2026. Currently, the leading outcome on Kalshi has a 59.0% probability. The market will resolve based on the daily settlement price for WTI crude oil (October 2026 contract) as reported by the resolution source. Traders should closely watch the August 2026 inventory reports from the Energy Information Administration, as these figures often provide a strong indication of supply and demand dynamics leading up to the September 4, 2026 settlement date.

Kalshi

The event resolves based on the daily settlement price of the October 2026 contract for WTI crude oil on September 04, 2026. Each market corresponds to a specific price range, and the market resolves to 'Yes' if the settlement price falls within that range. Prices are rounded to the nearest two decimal places. If data for the specified date is unavailable, the most recently published data is used to determine the outcome. The ranges progress from below $71.00 USD/Bbl up to above $95.99 USD/Bbl, covering a broad spectrum of potential price outcomes for the specified contract.

Frequently asked questions

Compared to traditional analyst forecasts, prediction market odds for this market often reflect a more immediate, crowd-sourced view of future oil price movements. While analysts may incorporate long-term economic models and geopolitical assessments, traders on Kalshi adjust prices based on real-time data, recent supply disruptions, and market sentiment, which can sometimes lead to sharper or more volatile expectations.

On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders submit bids and asks. The current implied probability reflects the balance of buy and sell orders, with market depth and recent trading activity influencing price discovery. Traders can also use limit orders to lock in specific prices, and liquidity can vary based on upcoming economic reports or supply news.

This market resolves around Sep 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final settlement will reflect the official WTI oil price as recorded on that date, providing a clear and objective basis for determining winners and payouts based on real-world market data.

Several signals could shift this market before resolution, including unexpected changes in global oil supply, such as pipeline disruptions or OPEC+ production decisions, as well as shifts in demand due to economic slowdowns or seasonal factors. Additionally, geopolitical tensions, inventory reports, and energy policy announcements often influence trader sentiment and can cause rapid movements in implied probabilities on Kalshi.