TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 25, 2:30 PM EST
Kalshi
The settlement price of West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude oil for the November 2026 contract on a specific date reflects global supply-demand dynamics, geopolitical events, and market speculation. Tracking this price provides insight into energy market trends and economic indicators.
The market resolves based on the daily settlement price of the WTI crude oil November 2026 contract on September 25, 2026. Each market corresponds to a specific price range, from below $85.00 USD/Bbl up to above $109.99 USD/Bbl. If the settlement price falls within a market's defined range, that market resolves to Yes; otherwise, it resolves to No. Prices are rounded to the nearest two decimal places. In cases where data publication is delayed or unavailable from the specified source agency on the resolution date, the most recently available published data will be used to determine the outcome.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different price ranges for WTI crude oil on the settlement date. The price of each contract reflects the market's assessment of the probability of that price range occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders adjust their bids and asks based on their own research, news events, and expectations, creating a dynamic pricing mechanism. The current volume traded is $205,819, indicating the level of interest and participation in this particular market.
This market resolves around Sep 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the settlement price of West Texas Intermediate crude oil on that date will determine which outcome pays out. The market will reflect the actual WTI crude oil price as reported by a widely recognized and trusted source. Traders will be able to see the final outcome and any resulting payouts shortly after the official price is published. The total volume traded in this market currently stands at $205,819.
Several factors could significantly impact this market between now and Sep 25, 2026. Geopolitical events, such as conflicts in oil-producing regions or changes in OPEC+ production policies, are major catalysts. Unexpected economic data releases, particularly those related to global demand or inflation, could also shift prices. Furthermore, major weather events impacting oil infrastructure, like hurricanes in the Gulf of Mexico, or significant technological advancements in energy production could all influence trading activity. The 24-hour volume is currently $107,329, reflecting the market’s sensitivity to these potential developments.