TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$134,145,987

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,441,166,947

406,422

Markets across

30,383

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,688

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Oil Price (WTI) on Sep 25, 2026?
kalshi

Oil Price (WTI) on Sep 25, 2026?

Volume:
$205,819

$92.00 to $92.99

 - Kalshi

$92.00 to $92.99 - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

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Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 28, 2026

Closed: Sep 25, 2:30 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

$92.00 to $92.99

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$37,896
N/A
N/A
$20,716
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$93.00 to $93.99

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$24,251
N/A
N/A
$14,854
Settled
No
kalshi

$94.00 to $94.99

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$22,755
N/A
N/A
$12,749
Settled
No
kalshi

$91.00 to $91.99

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$19,357
N/A
N/A
$12,017
Settled
No
kalshi

Above $109.99

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$13,597
N/A
N/A
$12,999
Settled
No
kalshi

$90.00 to $90.99

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$12,750
N/A
N/A
$7,603
Settled
No
kalshi

$95.00 to $95.99

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$12,001
N/A
N/A
$6,371
Settled
No
kalshi

$97.00 to $97.99

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$10,731
N/A
N/A
$4,992
Settled
No
kalshi

$98.00 to $98.99

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$8,112
N/A
N/A
$4,599
Settled
No
kalshi

$89.00 to $89.99

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$8,100
N/A
N/A
$3,858
Settled
No
kalshi

$96.00 to $96.99

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$8,036
N/A
N/A
$5,484
Settled
No
kalshi

Below $85.00

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$4,408
N/A
N/A
$3,051
Settled
No
kalshi

$99.00 to $99.99

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$3,948
N/A
N/A
$3,602
Settled
No
kalshi

$100.00 to $100.99

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$3,484
N/A
N/A
$3,245
Settled
No
kalshi

$88.00 to $88.99

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$3,280
N/A
N/A
$2,573
Settled
No
kalshi

$101.00 to $101.99

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,193
N/A
N/A
$2,191
Settled
No
kalshi

$86.00 to $86.99

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,962
N/A
N/A
$1,642
Settled
No
kalshi

$103.00 to $103.99

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,925
N/A
N/A
$1,922
Settled
No
kalshi

$102.00 to $102.99

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,663
N/A
N/A
$1,663
Settled
No
kalshi

$107.00 to $107.99

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$990
N/A
N/A
$990
Settled
No
kalshi

$87.00 to $87.99

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$926
N/A
N/A
$712
Settled
No
kalshi

$85.00 to $85.99

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$865
N/A
N/A
$771
Settled
No
kalshi

$105.00 to $105.99

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$756
N/A
N/A
$756
Settled
No
kalshi

$108.00 to $108.99

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$506
N/A
N/A
$506
Settled
No
kalshi

$104.00 to $104.99

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$495
N/A
N/A
$495
Settled
No
Total markets: 25 of 27

Description

The settlement price of West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude oil for the November 2026 contract on a specific date reflects global supply-demand dynamics, geopolitical events, and market speculation. Tracking this price provides insight into energy market trends and economic indicators.

Kalshi

The market resolves based on the daily settlement price of the WTI crude oil November 2026 contract on September 25, 2026. Each market corresponds to a specific price range, from below $85.00 USD/Bbl up to above $109.99 USD/Bbl. If the settlement price falls within a market's defined range, that market resolves to Yes; otherwise, it resolves to No. Prices are rounded to the nearest two decimal places. In cases where data publication is delayed or unavailable from the specified source agency on the resolution date, the most recently available published data will be used to determine the outcome.

Frequently asked questions

Currently, prediction market odds offer a distinct perspective compared to traditional analyst forecasts for oil prices. While analysts often provide point estimates or ranges, this market aggregates the wisdom of the crowd, expressing probabilities across a spectrum of potential outcomes. It's common to see discrepancies between the two, as analysts may be influenced by biases or specific models. Do analysts believe the WTI oil price will be between 98.00 and 98.99 USD/Bbl on Sep 25, 2026? Comparing the collective prediction here to those external forecasts can reveal valuable insights into market expectations and potential blind spots.

On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different price ranges for WTI crude oil on the settlement date. The price of each contract reflects the market's assessment of the probability of that price range occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders adjust their bids and asks based on their own research, news events, and expectations, creating a dynamic pricing mechanism. The current volume traded is $205,819, indicating the level of interest and participation in this particular market.

This market resolves around Sep 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the settlement price of West Texas Intermediate crude oil on that date will determine which outcome pays out. The market will reflect the actual WTI crude oil price as reported by a widely recognized and trusted source. Traders will be able to see the final outcome and any resulting payouts shortly after the official price is published. The total volume traded in this market currently stands at $205,819.

Several factors could significantly impact this market between now and Sep 25, 2026. Geopolitical events, such as conflicts in oil-producing regions or changes in OPEC+ production policies, are major catalysts. Unexpected economic data releases, particularly those related to global demand or inflation, could also shift prices. Furthermore, major weather events impacting oil infrastructure, like hurricanes in the Gulf of Mexico, or significant technological advancements in energy production could all influence trading activity. The 24-hour volume is currently $107,329, reflecting the market’s sensitivity to these potential developments.