TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$277,138,640
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,905,404,943
412,077
Markets across
39,838
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,526
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 21, 2:30 PM EST
Kalshi
The outcome depends on the settlement price of WTI crude oil for the December 2026 contract on a specific future date. Traders and analysts use these prices to gauge market expectations about supply, demand, and global economic conditions affecting oil markets.
All markets share the same event-level rules, focusing on the daily settlement price of the WTI crude oil December 2026 contract on October 21, 2026. Each market has a unique threshold price; if the settlement price exceeds the respective threshold, the market resolves to 'Yes,' otherwise to 'No.' Settlement uses the nearest listed contract month, rolling forward two business days before the current contract's last trading day. Prices are rounded to the nearest two decimal places. If data is unavailable for the specified time, the most recently published data determines the outcome. The contract and month naming follows standard exchange symbology, referencing the delivery month rather than the expiration date.