TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.4b

24H VOL:

$230,589,906

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,028,936

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,885,293,300

410,482

Markets across

40,213

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,340

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Oil Price (WTI) on Nov 6, 2026?
kalshi

Oil Price (WTI) on Nov 6, 2026?

Oct 30, 2026, 7:30 PM EST - Nov 6, 2026, 2:30 PM EST
Total volume:
$18,292
Volume 24h:
$7,164
14%
Liquidity:
N/AN/A
Open interest:
$16,422
67%

Below $92.00

 - Kalshi

Below $92.00 - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolves Nov 6, 2026

Time left: 03d:19h:55m

Will the WTI crude oil settlement price be below 92.00 USD/Bbl on Nov 6, 2026?

24%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
kalshi

Trade on Kalshi

Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.At 25¢ buys you 400 shares | Odds: 24% Total Payout: $400 | Net Profit: $300 Multiplier: 4.00x | ROI: 300% APY not meaningful 3 days to resolution
You will be redirected to the platform to complete this trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Below $92.00

Trade
24%
Yes 25¢No 77¢
2¢
N/A
$295
0%
N/A
$295
3d 19h 55m
Active
kalshi

$98.00 to $98.99

Trade
9%
2%
Yes 8¢No 95¢
3¢
N/A
$153
662%
N/A
$153
3d 19h 55m
Active
kalshi

$99.00 to $99.99

Trade
8%
Yes 7¢No 96¢
3¢
N/A
$343
0.29%
N/A
$272
3d 19h 55m
Active
kalshi

$107.00 to $107.99

Trade
7%
Yes 3¢No 98¢
1¢
N/A
$279
0%
N/A
$279
3d 19h 55m
Active
kalshi

$93.00 to $93.99

Trade
7%
Yes 6¢No 95¢
1¢
N/A
$67
0%
N/A
$67
3d 19h 55m
Active
kalshi

$101.00 to $101.99

Trade
6%
Yes 6¢No 95¢
1¢
N/A
$2,639
94%
N/A
$2,569
3d 19h 55m
Active
kalshi

$94.00 to $94.99

Trade
6%
Yes 7¢No 95¢
2¢
N/A
$102
0%
N/A
$81
3d 19h 55m
Active
kalshi

$105.00 to $105.99

Trade
6%
1%
Yes 5¢No 98¢
3¢
N/A
$838
26%
N/A
$750
3d 19h 55m
Active
kalshi

$104.00 to $104.99

Trade
5%
4%
Yes 5¢No 98¢
3¢
N/A
$816
28%
N/A
$731
3d 19h 55m
Active
kalshi

$113.00 to $113.99

Trade
5%
Yes 3¢No 99¢
2¢
N/A
$123
0%
N/A
$123
3d 19h 55m
Active
kalshi

$112.00 to $112.99

Trade
5%
Yes 3¢No 99¢
2¢
N/A
$30
0%
N/A
$30
3d 19h 55m
Active
kalshi

Above $116.99

Trade
4%
Yes 4¢No 98¢
2¢
N/A
$4,328
102%
N/A
$4,328
3d 19h 55m
Active
kalshi

$106.00 to $106.99

Trade
4%
1%
Yes 5¢No 99¢
4¢
N/A
$571
38%
N/A
$570
3d 19h 55m
Active
kalshi

$111.00 to $111.99

Trade
4%
1%
Yes 3¢No 99¢
2¢
N/A
$53
78%
N/A
$53
3d 19h 55m
Active
kalshi

$110.00 to $110.99

Trade
4%
1%
Yes 3¢No 99¢
2¢
N/A
$42
39%
N/A
$42
3d 19h 55m
Active
kalshi

$114.00 to $114.99

Trade
4%
Yes 3¢No 99¢
2¢
N/A
$37
0%
N/A
$37
3d 19h 55m
Active
kalshi

$100.00 to $100.99

Trade
3%
6%
Yes 7¢No 96¢
3¢
N/A
$280
66%
N/A
$131
3d 19h 55m
Active
kalshi

$108.00 to $108.99

Trade
3%
3%
Yes 4¢No 97¢
1¢
N/A
$1,123
530%
N/A
$1,123
3d 19h 55m
Active
kalshi

$109.00 to $109.99

Trade
2%
3%
Yes 3¢No 98¢
1¢
N/A
$1,438
188%
N/A
$1,438
3d 19h 55m
Active
kalshi

$102.00 to $102.99

Trade
1%
9%
Yes 5¢No 97¢
2¢
N/A
$4,003
12%
N/A
$2,768
3d 19h 55m
Active
kalshi

$103.00 to $103.99

Trade
1%
5%
Yes 5¢No 99¢
4¢
N/A
$731
26%
N/A
$580
3d 19h 55m
Active
kalshi

$92.00 to $92.99

Trade
N/A
N/A
1¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
3d 19h 55m
Active
kalshi

$95.00 to $95.99

Trade
N/A
N/A
2¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
3d 19h 55m
Active
kalshi

$96.00 to $96.99

Trade
N/A
N/A
1¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
3d 19h 55m
Active
kalshi

$97.00 to $97.99

Trade
N/A
N/A
2¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
3d 19h 55m
Active
Total markets: 25 of 27

Description

The outcome depends on the settlement price of WTI crude oil for the December 2026 contract on a specific date in 2026. Each market corresponds to a different price range, with the final market covering all prices above a certain threshold.

Kalshi

The market resolves based on the daily settlement price of the WTI crude oil December 2026 contract on November 06, 2026. Each market corresponds to a specific price range, with the first market resolving to Yes if the price is below $92.00 per barrel, and subsequent markets resolving to Yes if the price falls within progressively higher one-dollar increments up to $116.99 per barrel. The final market resolves to Yes if the price is above $116.99 per barrel. All prices are rounded to the nearest two decimal places. If the specified data source does not publish a price for the date in question, the most recently available published price will be used to determine the resolution.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the dashboard for the WTI oil price market tracks the current odds of various price ranges for West Texas Intermediate crude oil on November 6, 2026. You’ll find a price history chart showing how the probabilities have shifted over time, alongside the total volume traded in this market, which currently stands at $18,276. The 24-hour volume is $6,918, indicating recent trading activity. This allows you to gauge market sentiment and see how traders are positioning themselves ahead of the specified date.

Currently, analysts’ forecasts for the WTI oil price on November 6, 2026, vary widely, with estimates ranging from approximately 75 to 105 USD per barrel. This market offers a different perspective, as it reflects the collective judgment of traders willing to put their capital at risk. It’s important to note that prediction market prices represent expectations of what will *actually* happen, whereas analyst forecasts may be based on models or assumptions that don’t always materialize. Examining both sources provides a more comprehensive view of potential outcomes.

On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction, meaning traders can buy and sell contracts representing different price ranges for WTI crude oil. The prices of these contracts fluctuate based on supply and demand, reflecting traders’ beliefs about the likelihood of each price range occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market depth shows the available liquidity at different price points, and traders can execute orders at the best available prices. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows for real-time adjustments to expectations as new information becomes available.

This market resolves around Nov 6, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the settlement price of West Texas Intermediate crude oil, as reported by a widely recognized source, will determine which outcome wins. The market will determine which price range the WTI crude oil settlement price falls into on November 6, 2026. Traders will then be paid out or required to pay based on whether their chosen outcome was correct.

Several factors could significantly impact this market before November 6, 2026. Geopolitical events, such as conflicts in major oil-producing regions or changes in OPEC+ production policies, are key drivers. Unexpected economic data releases, particularly those related to global demand or inflation, could also cause price swings. Furthermore, major disruptions to oil supply, whether due to natural disasters or infrastructure failures, would likely move this market. Shifts in global energy policy, such as increased adoption of renewable energy sources, could also influence long-term expectations.