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$134.1b

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$141,541,542

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2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,440,096,988

406,065

Markets across

30,522

events

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2,692

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

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Oil Price (WTI) on Jun 12, 2026?
kalshi

Oil Price (WTI) on Jun 12, 2026?

Volume:
$709,677

Above $82.99

 - Kalshi

Above $82.99 - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jun 15, 2026

Closed: Jun 12, 2:30 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Above $82.99

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$89,148
N/A
N/A
$54,302
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above $83.99

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$75,730
N/A
N/A
$41,036
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above $85.99

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$103,975
N/A
N/A
$56,893
Settled
No
kalshi

Above $84.99

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$96,943
N/A
N/A
$16,439
Settled
No
kalshi

Above $86.99

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$69,404
N/A
N/A
$23,645
Settled
No
kalshi

Above $90.99

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$58,638
N/A
N/A
$43,027
Settled
No
kalshi

Above $87.99

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$55,086
N/A
N/A
$21,303
Settled
No
kalshi

Above $89.99

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$51,498
N/A
N/A
$18,502
Settled
No
kalshi

Above $88.99

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$43,109
N/A
N/A
$20,610
Settled
No
kalshi

Above $91.99

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$28,889
N/A
N/A
$16,349
Settled
No
kalshi

Above $92.99

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$15,976
N/A
N/A
$9,449
Settled
No
kalshi

Above $93.99

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$8,289
N/A
N/A
$5,003
Settled
No
kalshi

Above $95.99

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$5,442
N/A
N/A
$2,918
Settled
No
kalshi

Above $96.99

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$4,639
N/A
N/A
$3,114
Settled
No
kalshi

Above $94.99

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,909
N/A
N/A
$1,631
Settled
No
Total markets: 15

Intro

This market tracks whether the daily settlement price of WTI crude oil's July 2026 contract will exceed 82.99 USD per barrel on a specific date. On Kalshi, the leading outcome—that the price will settle above this threshold—stands at 99.0%. The market resolves according to the official settlement price reported for the July 2026 WTI contract. Watch the June 12, 2026 settlement close, as that date determines the final resolution of this contract.

Kalshi

Resolution is based on the daily settlement price for WTI crude oil (July 2026 contract) on June 12, 2026, expressed in USD per barrel. Settlement uses the nearest listed contract month, rolling forward two business days before the current contract's last trading day. The settlement value is rounded to the nearest two decimal places. If no data is published by the specified source agency for the specified date, the most recently available published data will be used. The market consists of fifteen cumulative threshold outcomes, each resolving to Yes if the settlement price exceeds the specified threshold, starting at $82.99 and incrementing by $1.00 up to $96.99.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction market odds on Kalshi reflect real-money trader expectations for WTI pricing, often incorporating forward-looking sentiment faster than traditional analyst consensus. While Wall Street energy analysts publish quarterly price targets based on supply-demand models and geopolitical risk, prediction markets aggregate dispersed information from thousands of participants with direct financial incentive to forecast accurately. Comparing Kalshi implied probabilities to published analyst price ranges can reveal where the market is pricing in tail risks or opportunities that consensus forecasts may underweight.

On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Oil Price (WTI) on Jun 12, 2026 is priced on Kalshi through binary or range-based outcome contracts that traders buy and sell based on their conviction about where crude will trade. Each contract reflects the collective probability assigned by the market; prices move as new information emerges about OPEC production decisions, global demand, inventory levels, and macroeconomic conditions. Traders profit by correctly predicting whether WTI settles above or below specified price thresholds by the resolution deadline.

The Oil Price (WTI) on Jun 12, 2026 market resolves on Jun 12, 2026. Resolution is determined by the official WTI crude oil settlement price on that date, typically sourced from major commodity exchanges and financial data providers. The exact reference price and any tie-breaking rules are specified in the market's terms; traders should review the full contract details on Kalshi to confirm which pricing source and time window apply to final settlement.

WTI prices are sensitive to OPEC production announcements, geopolitical tensions in the Middle East, US inventory reports, and global economic growth expectations. Unexpected supply disruptions, sanctions changes, or major refinery outages can trigger sharp moves. Federal Reserve policy and US dollar strength also influence crude valuations, since oil is priced in dollars globally. Energy transition news, renewable adoption rates, and seasonal demand patterns heading into summer 2026 will shape trader positioning. Monitor these catalysts on Kalshi to anticipate market shifts before Jun 12, 2026.