TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$141,541,542

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,440,096,988

406,065

Markets across

30,522

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,692

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Oil Price (WTI) on Jul 28, 2026?
kalshi

Oil Price (WTI) on Jul 28, 2026?

Volume:
$479,182

Above $78.99

 - Kalshi

Above $78.99 - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jul 29, 2026

Closed: Jul 28, 2:30 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Above $78.99

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$48,700
N/A
N/A
$9,211
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above $78.49

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$38,331
N/A
N/A
$10,397
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above $77.99

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$21,153
N/A
N/A
$7,630
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above $77.49

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$17,160
N/A
N/A
$9,019
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above $76.99

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$13,157
N/A
N/A
$6,832
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above $76.49

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$8,359
N/A
N/A
$5,282
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above $79.49

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$36,068
N/A
N/A
$10,073
Settled
No
kalshi

Above $81.49

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$32,805
N/A
N/A
$16,371
Settled
No
kalshi

Above $79.99

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$30,661
N/A
N/A
$10,596
Settled
No
kalshi

Above $83.49

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$29,834
N/A
N/A
$20,349
Settled
No
kalshi

Above $80.49

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$23,895
N/A
N/A
$12,833
Settled
No
kalshi

Above $81.99

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$22,000
N/A
N/A
$9,276
Settled
No
kalshi

Above $80.99

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$15,615
N/A
N/A
$7,721
Settled
No
kalshi

Above $82.49

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$14,545
N/A
N/A
$5,725
Settled
No
kalshi

Above $83.99

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$12,602
N/A
N/A
$6,406
Settled
No
kalshi

Above $82.99

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$10,236
N/A
N/A
$4,656
Settled
No
kalshi

Above $84.99

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$10,085
N/A
N/A
$5,342
Settled
No
kalshi

Above $86.49

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$8,217
N/A
N/A
$3,673
Settled
No
kalshi

Above $84.49

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$8,181
N/A
N/A
$3,149
Settled
No
kalshi

Above $94.99

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$7,578
N/A
N/A
$7,023
Settled
No
kalshi

Above $85.99

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$6,651
N/A
N/A
$2,861
Settled
No
kalshi

Above $85.49

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$6,605
N/A
N/A
$2,970
Settled
No
kalshi

Above $87.99

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$5,349
N/A
N/A
$3,716
Settled
No
kalshi

Above $95.49

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$5,208
N/A
N/A
$4,628
Settled
No
kalshi

Above $86.99

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$4,829
N/A
N/A
$2,507
Settled
No
Total markets: 25 of 40

Intro

This market tracks whether the WTI crude oil settlement price will be above 76.49 USD per barrel on July 28, 2026, on Kalshi, resolving based on the September 2026 contract price. The current probability for the leading outcome is 94.0%. Watch for the market resolution on July 28, 2026, which will determine the settlement based on the daily price of the September 2026 contract.

Kalshi

Each market outcome is determined by whether the daily settlement price for the WTI crude oil September 2026 contract on July 28, 2026 exceeds a specific threshold, ranging from $81.49 to $95.99 per barrel. Settlement uses the nearest listed contract month, rolling forward two business days before the current contract's last trading day. Prices are rounded to the nearest two decimal places, and if data is unavailable for the specified date, the most recent published data is used for resolution.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the WTI oil price market dashboard tracks the latest odds and price history for the outcome of this market, along with 24-hour volume of $375,154. It provides a real-time view of trader sentiment and market movement, helping users monitor how expectations for oil prices evolve over time.

Compared to traditional analyst forecasts, prediction market odds for this market often reflect a more immediate, crowd-sourced view of expectations. While analysts may incorporate long-term trends and fundamental data, traders on Kalshi react quickly to news and short-term signals, which can lead to tighter or divergent odds depending on recent events.

This market resolves around Jul 28, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final settlement will reflect the actual WTI oil price as recorded on that date, providing a clear and objective resolution for all participants.

Several signals could shift this market before resolution, including geopolitical developments affecting oil supply, changes in global demand due to economic shifts, and key decisions from major oil-producing organizations. Natural disasters or unexpected production issues could also create volatility, influencing trader sentiment and shifting odds on Kalshi as new information emerges.