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Oil Price (WTI) on Aug 25, 2026?
kalshi

Oil Price (WTI) on Aug 25, 2026?

Volume:
$404,484

Above $81.99

 - Kalshi

Above $81.99 - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 26, 2026

Closed: Aug 25, 2:30 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Above $81.99

View
100%
3%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$55,426
N/A
N/A
$25,086
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above $81.49

View
100%
2%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$26,601
N/A
N/A
$15,907
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above $80.99

View
100%
3%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$19,496
N/A
N/A
$15,714
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above $80.49

View
100%
1%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$10,293
N/A
N/A
$8,576
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above $79.99

View
100%
1%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$9,355
N/A
N/A
$8,476
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above $79.49

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$2,770
N/A
N/A
$2,650
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above $82.99

View
0%
95%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$46,077
N/A
N/A
$20,401
Settled
No
kalshi

Above $83.49

View
0%
90%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$44,256
N/A
N/A
$17,254
Settled
No
kalshi

Above $82.49

View
0%
97%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$44,234
N/A
N/A
$17,808
Settled
No
kalshi

Above $83.99

View
0%
83%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$29,671
N/A
N/A
$16,012
Settled
No
kalshi

Above $84.49

View
0%
76%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$27,196
N/A
N/A
$11,526
Settled
No
kalshi

Above $84.99

View
0%
63%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$23,364
N/A
N/A
$12,100
Settled
No
kalshi

Above $85.49

View
0%
52%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$13,059
N/A
N/A
$6,528
Settled
No
kalshi

Above $85.99

View
0%
44%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$7,916
N/A
N/A
$4,762
Settled
No
kalshi

Above $86.49

View
0%
28%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$7,842
N/A
N/A
$5,253
Settled
No
kalshi

Above $86.99

View
0%
21%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$7,268
N/A
N/A
$5,460
Settled
No
kalshi

Above $87.99

View
0%
12%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$6,855
N/A
N/A
$6,483
Settled
No
kalshi

Above $87.49

View
0%
14%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$5,599
N/A
N/A
$5,397
Settled
No
kalshi

Above $88.49

View
0%
5%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$5,051
N/A
N/A
$3,990
Settled
No
kalshi

Above $89.99

View
0%
2%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$3,998
N/A
N/A
$3,621
Settled
No
kalshi

Above $88.99

View
0%
5%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$3,109
N/A
N/A
$3,076
Settled
No
kalshi

Above $89.49

View
0%
2%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,337
N/A
N/A
$2,337
Settled
No
kalshi

Above $90.49

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,559
N/A
N/A
$1,554
Settled
No
kalshi

Above $91.99

View
0%
4%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$633
N/A
N/A
$633
Settled
No
kalshi

Above $90.99

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$514
N/A
N/A
$514
Settled
No
Total markets: 25 of 30

Description

The event tracks future price movements of WTI crude oil by evaluating whether its settlement price on a specific date exceeds various thresholds. Crude oil prices fluctuate based on global supply-demand dynamics, geopolitical events, and market speculation. This event provides a structured way to assess potential price levels through binary outcomes tied to predefined benchmarks.

Kalshi

All markets resolve based on the daily settlement price of the WTI crude oil October 2026 contract on August 25, 2026. Each market has a distinct threshold price; if the settlement price exceeds that threshold, the market resolves to 'Yes,' otherwise to 'No.' Settlement uses the nearest listed contract month, rolling forward two business days before the current contract's last trading day. Prices are rounded to the nearest two decimal places. If data is unavailable for the specified date, the most recently published data is used for resolution. The contract's delivery month naming convention follows standard exchange symbology, distinguishing it from the contract's expiration date.

Frequently asked questions

The dashboard for the WTI oil price market tracks real-time odds, price trends, and 24-hour volume on Kalshi. It shows how traders on this single venue are pricing the future value of WTI crude oil as of August 25, 2026. The display updates continuously based on participant activity, reflecting collective expectations for supply, demand, and geopolitical factors influencing oil prices. With a volume of $404,484 and a 24-hour volume of $357,224, it offers a live snapshot of market sentiment on Kalshi alone.

On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, traders set the price through a logarithmic market scoring rule that rewards accurate forecasting. The current top outcome reflects the aggregate belief of participants about where WTI crude will trade on Aug 25, 2026. Prices fluctuate continuously as new information emerges, with market depth and liquidity influencing how quickly odds adjust. This mechanism allows the platform to capture a dynamic range of opinions without relying on external benchmarks.

This market resolves around Aug 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final settlement will depend on the officially recognized WTI oil price at the specified time, ensuring an objective and transparent resolution process.

Several signals could shift expectations in this market before Aug 25, 2026. Key catalysts include monthly inventory reports from major agencies, unexpected disruptions in supply chains, changes in OPEC+ production policies, and shifts in global demand due to economic growth or recession. Geopolitical tensions in oil-producing regions, weather events affecting infrastructure, and policy decisions on renewable energy incentives may also drive volatility. Traders will closely watch these developments to adjust their positions accordingly.