TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$130,522,377

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,438,389,636

404,028

Markets across

30,214

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,681

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Oil Price (WTI) on Aug 18, 2026?
kalshi

Oil Price (WTI) on Aug 18, 2026?

Volume:
$516,877

Above $83.99

 - Kalshi

Above $83.99 - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 19, 2026

Closed: Aug 18, 2:30 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Above $83.99

View
100%
37%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$150,659
N/A
N/A
$82,664
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above $83.49

100%
25%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$73,280
N/A
N/A
$39,359
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above $82.99

100%
13%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$36,875
N/A
N/A
$15,638
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above $82.49

100%
7%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$15,499
N/A
N/A
$5,353
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above $81.99

100%
3%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$10,810
N/A
N/A
$6,677
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above $80.99

100%
1%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$7,783
N/A
N/A
$6,204
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above $81.49

100%
4%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$5,797
N/A
N/A
$3,263
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above $79.99

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$3,417
N/A
N/A
$1,965
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above $80.49

100%
1%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$3,381
N/A
N/A
$2,654
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above $78.49

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1,794
N/A
N/A
$1,620
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above $78.99

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1,753
N/A
N/A
$1,133
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above $79.49

100%
1%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1,716
N/A
N/A
$1,485
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above $77.99

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1,151
N/A
N/A
$1,025
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above $76.99

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$940
N/A
N/A
$940
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above $77.49

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$915
N/A
N/A
$915
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above $76.49

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$702
N/A
N/A
$702
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above $75.49

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$689
N/A
N/A
$689
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above $73.49

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$581
N/A
N/A
$581
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above $75.99

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$502
N/A
N/A
$502
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above $73.99

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$300
N/A
N/A
$300
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above $74.49

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$300
N/A
N/A
$300
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above $74.99

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$300
N/A
N/A
$300
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above $84.49

0%
49%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$80,255
N/A
N/A
$42,467
Settled
No
kalshi

Above $84.99

0%
34%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$61,245
N/A
N/A
$31,105
Settled
No
kalshi

Above $85.49

0%
23%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$28,029
N/A
N/A
$14,877
Settled
No
Total markets: 25 of 30

Description

The future price of WTI crude oil is a key indicator reflecting global supply-demand dynamics, geopolitical tensions, and economic forecasts. Tracking its value on specific dates helps stakeholders gauge market sentiment and make informed decisions about energy investments and policies.

Kalshi

All markets resolve based on the daily settlement price of the WTI crude oil October 2026 contract on August 18, 2026. Each market has a specific price threshold; if the settlement price exceeds the respective threshold, the market resolves to Yes, otherwise No. Settlement uses the nearest listed contract month, rolling forward two business days before the current contract's last trading day. Prices are rounded to the nearest two decimal places. If data is unavailable for the specified date, the most recently published data is used for resolution.

Frequently asked questions

Compared to traditional analyst forecasts, prediction market odds offer a real-time aggregate of trader expectations and betting behavior. While analysts may publish target prices or scenario analyses, this market captures crowd-sourced probabilities that can shift rapidly with new data, geopolitics, or supply shocks. The contrast helps identify where consensus diverges from institutional outlooks.

This market resolves around Aug 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final settlement will reflect the official WTI oil price as recorded on that date, closing all positions based on the market’s defined rules. Traders should monitor news sources closely as the resolution date approaches.

Key signals that could shift this market include changes in global oil supply, geopolitical tensions affecting major producers, unexpected inventory reports, or shifts in demand from key economies. Natural disasters, policy decisions, or technological breakthroughs in energy storage also have the potential to influence trader sentiment and move odds significantly before Aug 18, 2026.