TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 18, 2:30 PM EST
Kalshi
The future price of WTI crude oil is a key indicator reflecting global supply-demand dynamics, geopolitical tensions, and economic forecasts. Tracking its value on specific dates helps stakeholders gauge market sentiment and make informed decisions about energy investments and policies.
All markets resolve based on the daily settlement price of the WTI crude oil October 2026 contract on August 18, 2026. Each market has a specific price threshold; if the settlement price exceeds the respective threshold, the market resolves to Yes, otherwise No. Settlement uses the nearest listed contract month, rolling forward two business days before the current contract's last trading day. Prices are rounded to the nearest two decimal places. If data is unavailable for the specified date, the most recently published data is used for resolution.
This market resolves around Aug 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final settlement will reflect the official WTI oil price as recorded on that date, closing all positions based on the market’s defined rules. Traders should monitor news sources closely as the resolution date approaches.
Key signals that could shift this market include changes in global oil supply, geopolitical tensions affecting major producers, unexpected inventory reports, or shifts in demand from key economies. Natural disasters, policy decisions, or technological breakthroughs in energy storage also have the potential to influence trader sentiment and move odds significantly before Aug 18, 2026.