TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 11, 2:30 PM EST
Kalshi
The future price of WTI crude oil reflects expectations about supply, demand, and geopolitical factors influencing global energy markets. Tracking these price movements helps stakeholders anticipate economic conditions and make informed decisions about energy investments and policies.
All markets resolve based on the daily settlement price of the WTI crude oil September 2026 contract on August 11, 2026. Each market has a specific price threshold, and if the settlement price exceeds that threshold, the market resolves to Yes; otherwise, it resolves to No. Settlement uses the nearest listed contract month, rolling forward to the next contract two business days before the current contract's last trading day. Prices are rounded to the nearest two decimal places. If data is unavailable for the specified date, the most recently published data is used to determine the outcome.
Compared to traditional analyst forecasts, prediction market odds reflect a crowdsourced outlook shaped by real-time trading activity. While analysts may issue target prices or scenario-based projections, this market condenses trader sentiment into a single, continuously updated probability. The difference often lies in responsiveness — rapid shifts in supply, geopolitics, or demand can move this market faster than many published reports.
This market resolves around Aug 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final settlement will match the actual WTI oil price as recorded on that date, closing all positions based on that definitive value.