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24H VOL:

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OPEN INTEREST:

$1,177,208,320

335,484

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MATCHED EVENTS:

4,184

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5

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Ohio Governor Election Winner
Politics
predict
polymarket
kalshi

Ohio Governor Election Winner

Total volume:
$351,458
Volume 24h:
$1,198
43%
Liquidity:
$97,119
0.7%
Open interest:
$143,360
0%

Democrat

 - Polymarket

Democrat - Polymarket

55%

+4.7%

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Aug 20

Aug 20

Aug 22

Aug 23

Aug 24

Aug 25

Aug 27

Vol.

$2.3k

·

Resolves Nov 4, 2026

Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026?

55%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
polymarket

Trade on Polymarket

At 55¢ buys you 182 shares | Odds: 55% Total Payout: $182 | Net Profit: $82 Multiplier: 1.82x | ROI: 82% | APY: N/A
predict

Trade on Predict

At 55¢ buys you 182 shares | Odds: 0% Total Payout: $182 | Net Profit: $82 Multiplier: 1.82x | ROI: 82% High Projected APY: 2,158% 69 days to resolution
You will be redirected to the platform to complete this trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
MUI X License key version mismatch
Total markets: 10

Description

This group of markets focuses on predicting the winner of the 2026 Ohio gubernatorial election. Markets cover both party-level outcomes (Republican vs. Democrat) and specific candidate outcomes.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

All platforms use the same resolution criteria: the winner of the 2026 Ohio gubernatorial election as called by Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC, with official certification as the fallback.Primary resolution logic: Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC (three-source consensus) with official certification as fallback

Core resolution logic:

  • A candidate represents a party only if they are that party's official nominee
  • Independent candidates do not count toward party options regardless of prior affiliations
  • Markets resolve when all three sources (AP, Fox, NBC) agree on a winner, otherwise use official certification

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • Three-way race: If a third-party or independent candidate wins but is not listed in the market, the 'Other' market would resolve positively
  • No clear winner: If no candidate achieves majority and the race remains unresolved, markets resolve based on official certification
Timing: After the 2026 Ohio gubernatorial election results are officially certifiedOur PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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Polymarket

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ohio gubernatorial election. A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.

Predict

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ohio gubernatorial election. A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.

Frequently asked questions

The dashboard for the Pennsylvania GOP governor race aggregates real-time data from multiple platforms, showing how traders price the chances of each candidate winning. It displays total volume of $350,260 and 24-hour volume of $118,167, letting you see market momentum and consensus. Because this market is followed across venues, the dashboard helps you spot shifts in trader sentiment as the election approaches.

Prediction market odds on this market reflect trader expectations adjusted for betting dynamics, often showing sharper shifts than traditional polling averages. While polls sample public opinion through surveys, market prices incorporate real money stakes and can react faster to campaign developments, news coverage, and fundraising reports. This difference means market odds may sometimes diverge from poll aggregates, offering an alternative view of voter sentiment.

This market resolves around Nov 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the election result is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final tally of votes determines the winner, and once official results are announced and widely reported, the market settles accordingly.

Debates, major news headlines, fundraising disclosures, and shifts in endorsement patterns often drive movement in this market. As primary contests narrow the field, trader focus may shift dramatically, impacting pricing. Economic data releases or controversies involving the candidates can also cause rapid re-pricing, especially when they occur closer to Nov 4, 2026.