TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$130,522,377

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,438,389,636

404,028

Markets across

30,214

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,681

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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# of views of next MrBeast video on week 1?
polymarket

# of views of next MrBeast video on week 1?

Volume:
$251,758

80-90M

 - Polymarket

80-90M - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 12, 2026

Closed: Sep 12, 2:04 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

80-90M

View
100%
1%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$63,381
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

70-80M

0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$73,120
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

90M+

0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$52,731
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

60-70M

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$39,152
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

<40M

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$9,782
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

50-60M

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$9,431
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

40-50M

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$4,159
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 7

Intro

This market tracks whether MrBeast’s next YouTube video will receive between 80 and 90 million views within its first week after being posted. Currently, Polymarket gives this outcome a 97.0% probability, while the second most likely outcome – 70 to 80 million views – is at 2.5%. Resolution will be based on the view count reported on MrBeast’s YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast) for the video, as determined seven days after its release. Keep an eye on MrBeast’s channel for a new video release, as the market will resolve based on views accumulated by September 12, 2026, our current resolution date estimate.

Polymarket

This market will resolve according to the number of views the next YouTube video posted by MrBeast after this market's creation gets in the first 7 days after being posted. If MrBeast does not post a YouTube video by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source for this is MrBeast's YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast), specifically the 'views' counter for the described video. If the resolution source is not available at the end of the specified duration, this market will resolve according to most recent number of views available before the end of the specified duration. Note: This market refers to MrBeast's next video posted. Shorts, previews, or other videos released other than the referenced video will not be considered.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket, the dashboard for the MrBeast video views market tracks the current odds, price history, and 24-hour trading volume. Currently, the volume is $18,427 and the total volume is $251,758. Users can see how the market is pricing the likelihood of different view counts for MrBeast’s next video in its first week. The dashboard provides a visual representation of trader sentiment and allows participants to monitor the market’s activity in real-time, offering insights into how predictions are evolving as new information becomes available.

Currently, analysts predict a wide range of views for MrBeast’s next video, with estimates varying considerably based on content speculation and past performance. This market provides a different perspective, reflecting the collective wisdom of traders who are putting capital behind their beliefs. While analyst forecasts are based on subjective assessments, the odds in this market are driven by actual financial commitments, potentially offering a more accurate signal of expected views. Discrepancies between analyst predictions and the market’s pricing can highlight areas of disagreement or uncertainty.

On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief about the number of views MrBeast’s next video will receive in its first week. The price of these shares fluctuates based on supply and demand, effectively creating a probability distribution of potential outcomes. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The higher the price of a share, the greater the market’s confidence in that particular outcome. This dynamic pricing allows for real-time adjustments based on new information and changing sentiment among traders.

This market resolves around Sep 12, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official view count for MrBeast’s next video during its first week is verifiable from credible public reporting. The view count will be sourced from YouTube analytics and will represent the total number of views accumulated within the first seven days of the video’s release. The resolution will be based on the publicly available data, ensuring a transparent and objective determination of the market’s outcome. Traders should monitor official sources for the final view count as the resolution date approaches.

Several signals could significantly impact this market. Any announcements regarding the content of MrBeast’s next video, such as teasers or collaborations, could shift expectations and influence trading activity. Unexpected news related to YouTube’s algorithm or changes in viewership trends could also play a role. Furthermore, the performance of MrBeast’s prior videos and broader trends in online video consumption will be closely watched. Positive or negative reactions to the video upon its release will be a major catalyst, potentially causing rapid price movements in this market.