TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$126,590,312

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,439,516,703

404,175

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30,277

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MATCHED EVENTS:

2,685

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

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Odds of Khamenei out by March 31 over__ in February?
polymarket

Odds of Khamenei out by March 31 over__ in February?

Volume:
$563,274

>20%

 - Polymarket

>20% - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Feb 18, 2026

Odds of Khamenei being out as Supreme Leader by March 31 over 20% in February?

100%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
polymarket

Trade on Polymarket

At 100¢ buys you 100 shares | Odds: 100% Total Payout: $100 | Net Profit: $0 Multiplier: 1.00x | ROI: 0% | APY: N/A Illiquid market
You will be redirected to the platform to complete this trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

>20%

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$270,038
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
polymarket

>25%

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$255,222
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
polymarket

>15%

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$38,013
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
Total markets: 3

Description

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the “Yes” option for the 'Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?' market (https://polymarket.com/event/khamenei-out-as-supreme-leader-of-iran-by-march-31) is priced over the listed value for a majority of minutes during any two-hour period between market creation and February 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or earlier. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A tie in the number of minutes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution. If the underlying market resolves prior to this market, this market will immediately resolve in accordance with the underlying market’s final outcome. The resolution source will be the underlying minute-level price data for the 'Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?' market, which can be viewed using the bar chart on XYZ or through the “Get Resolution” tab, with the time set to look at a two-hour window. This will display a two-hour scoring window and the underlying minute-level comparisons. Both interfaces display the same underlying data. Note: This market will resolve according to the price scoring methodology of derivative.polymarket.com.