TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$113,466,932

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,423,222,590

402,751

Markets across

30,217

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,632

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Politics
Odds of Khamenei out by March 31 over 40% in February?
polymarket

Odds of Khamenei out by March 31 over 40% in February?

Volume:
$120,634

Odds of Khamenei out by March 31 over 40% in February?

 - Polymarket

Odds of Khamenei out by March 31 over 40% in February? - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Feb 28, 2026

Closed: Feb 27, 7:00 PM EST

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Polymarket

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24h
7d
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polymarket

Odds of Khamenei out by March 31 over 40% in February?

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$120,634
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 1

Description

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the “Yes” option for the 'Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?' market (https://polymarket.com/event/khamenei-out-as-supreme-leader-of-iran-by-march-31) is priced over the listed value for a majority of minutes during any two-hour period ending between market creation and February 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A tie in the number of minutes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution. If the underlying market resolves prior to this market, this market will immediately resolve in accordance with the underlying market’s final outcome. The resolution source will be the underlying minute-level price data for the 'Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?' market, which can be viewed using the bar chart on https://derivative.polymarket.com/khamenei-out-as-supreme-leader-of-iran-by-march-31-over-40 or through the “Get Resolution” tab, with the time set to look at a two-hour window. This will display a two-hour scoring window and the underlying minute-level comparisons. Both interfaces display the same underlying data. Note: This market will resolve according to the price scoring methodology of derivative.polymarket.com.