TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 22, 4:00 PM EST
Limitless
This market will resolve to "Up" if the Close price for Occidental Petroleum (Pyth OXY/USD) on June 22, 2026, is strictly higher than the Close price for Occidental Petroleum (Pyth OXY/USD) on the most recent prior trading day. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Down". The Close price for Occidental Petroleum (Pyth OXY/USD) captured on June 18, 2026, was $51.82000. Resolution source: Pyth OXY/USD price feed. Other exchanges, spot markets, and oracles will not be used. For example, a Monday market would ordinarily compare Monday's Close price with the previous Friday's Close price, unless that Friday was a market holiday. In that case, it would compare against Thursday's Close price, or the next most recent trading day. If Occidental Petroleum (OXY) does not trade at all during the regular session on June 22, 2026, this market will resolve to "Down". For a standard full trading session, the Close price refers to the "Close" value of the 1-minute Pyth candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If either relevant trading day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the last valid Pyth price during that day's regular trading hours will be used as the effective Close price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which OXY is listed will be used to determine the Close price for that day. In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting OXY during the relevant time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth.
This market will resolve to "Up" if the Close price for Occidental Petroleum (Pyth OXY/USD) on June 22, 2026, is strictly higher than the Close price for Occidental Petroleum (Pyth OXY/USD) on the most recent prior trading day. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Down". The Close price for Occidental Petroleum (Pyth OXY/USD) captured on June 18, 2026, was $51.82000. Resolution source: Pyth OXY/USD price feed. Other exchanges, spot markets, and oracles will not be used. For example, a Monday market would ordinarily compare Monday's Close price with the previous Friday's Close price, unless that Friday was a market holiday. In that case, it would compare against Thursday's Close price, or the next most recent trading day. If Occidental Petroleum (OXY) does not trade at all during the regular session on June 22, 2026, this market will resolve to "Down". For a standard full trading session, the Close price refers to the "Close" value of the 1-minute Pyth candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If either relevant trading day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the last valid Pyth price during that day's regular trading hours will be used as the effective Close price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which OXY is listed will be used to determine the Close price for that day. In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting OXY during the relevant time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth.
Prediction market odds often diverge from traditional analyst price targets because they reflect real-time trader sentiment and incorporate breaking news faster than consensus revisions. While equity analysts typically publish quarterly outlooks based on fundamental models, this market updates continuously as new information emerges. Traders betting on daily moves may weigh short-term catalysts—earnings surprises, geopolitical shocks, or commodity price swings—differently than long-term fundamental analysts. Comparing the implied probability here to Wall Street consensus can reveal whether the market is pricing in more or less optimism than the analyst community.
On Limitless, this market is priced through an automated market maker that adjusts odds based on trader buy and sell orders. On Limitless, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The platform converts order flow into real-time probabilities, so the odds you see reflect the marginal trader's willingness to bet on an up or down close. Liquidity and trading volume directly influence how tightly the spread between up and down outcomes remains; deeper liquidity typically narrows the gap between bid and ask prices, making it cheaper to enter or exit a position.
This market resolves around Jun 22, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result hinges on whether OXY's closing price on the specified date is higher or lower than the previous trading day's close. No special adjustments for dividends or splits apply to daily price moves; only the raw closing price comparison matters. Once the market closes and the final price is published, the winning outcome is locked in and payouts are distributed to holders of the correct side.
Oil price movements are the primary driver of OXY volatility, since crude futures directly affect energy sector profitability. Geopolitical tensions in major oil-producing regions, OPEC production announcements, and US inventory data releases can trigger sharp intraday swings. Earnings surprises, dividend announcements, or changes to management guidance also shift trader positioning. Broader market selloffs, interest rate decisions, and macroeconomic data can push energy stocks up or down alongside the wider market. Breaking news on regulatory or environmental issues specific to Occidental may also influence daily sentiment.