TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$134,145,987

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,441,166,947

406,422

Markets across

30,383

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,688

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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o1 FDV above ___ one day after launch?
limitless

o1 FDV above ___ one day after launch?

Volume:
$462

$100M

 - Limitless

$100M - Limitless

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jul 6, 2026

Closed: Jul 6, 6:13 AM EST

limitless

Limitless

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
limitless

$100M

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$446
N/A
N/A
N/A
3mo 3d
Yes
limitless

$300M

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$16
N/A
N/A
N/A
3mo 3d
Yes
limitless

$200M

View
N/A
N/A
0.1¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
3mo 3d
Yes
Total markets: 3

Description

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of o1's governance token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If o1 (https://x.com/o1_exchange) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

Limitless

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of o1's governance token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If o1 (https://x.com/o1_exchange) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

Frequently asked questions

This dashboard tracks real-time odds and historical price data for the o1 FDV above ___ one day after launch market on Limitless. It displays the current implied probability that o1's fully diluted valuation will exceed a specified threshold within one day of its launch. The interface shows live odds updates, cumulative trading volume of $462, and 24-hour volume trends. Traders can monitor how market sentiment shifts as launch approaches and new information emerges about o1's tokenomics and market positioning.

The market resolves on Jan 1, 2027. Resolution is determined by o1's fully diluted valuation exactly one day after its official launch. This includes all tokens in existence or committed to be minted, valued at the market price observed at that snapshot time. The outcome is binary: either the FDV exceeds the specified threshold, or it does not. Traders should monitor the exact launch timestamp and ensure they understand which price feed or exchange data will be used to calculate the final valuation for settlement purposes.

Key catalysts include o1's official launch announcement and tokenomics disclosure, which will clarify total supply and initial allocation. Early exchange listings and trading volume on major platforms directly influence price discovery and market cap. Regulatory developments or security audits released before launch can shift sentiment. Competitive announcements from rival projects or shifts in broader crypto market conditions also matter. Hype cycles and social media momentum often drive post-launch valuations. Finally, any delays or technical issues during launch could suppress initial FDV, while smooth execution and strong institutional interest could push it higher.