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$134.1b

24H VOL:

$141,541,542

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2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,440,096,988

406,065

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30,522

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2,692

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

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39%

VS.

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NZDUSD price on Sep 04 at 5:00 PM EDT
kalshi

NZDUSD price on Sep 04 at 5:00 PM EDT

Volume:
$2,609

Above 0.583

 - Kalshi

Above 0.583 - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 4, 2026

Closed: Sep 4, 5:00 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Above 0.583

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$751
N/A
N/A
$750
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 0.585

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$637
N/A
N/A
$310
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 0.587

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$336
N/A
N/A
$316
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 0.573

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$11
N/A
N/A
$11
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 0.575

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$11
N/A
N/A
$11
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 0.577

View
100%
1%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$11
N/A
N/A
$10
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 0.571

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1
N/A
N/A
$1
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 0.591

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$427
N/A
N/A
$427
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 0.589

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$324
N/A
N/A
$319
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 0.601

View
0%
5%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$100
N/A
N/A
$100
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 0.579

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 0.581

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 0.593

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 0.595

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 0.597

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 0.599

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 0.603

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 0.605

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 0.607

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 0.609

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 20

Description

This set of markets tracks whether the NZDUSD exchange rate will exceed various threshold levels at a specific future moment. Each market examines a different threshold, allowing participants to assess the likelihood of the rate being above a particular value at that time.

Kalshi

All markets resolve based on the NZDUSD opening candlestick value at 5pm ET on September 4, 2026, as published by Pyth. Each individual market has a specific threshold value; if the exchange rate at the specified time is above that threshold, the market resolves to Yes, otherwise it resolves to No. The resolution uses the rate rounded to four decimal places. If Pyth does not publish data at exactly 5pm ET, the most recent available value before that time will be used. Any revisions to the exchange rate after the expiration time are disregarded when determining the market outcome.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the NZDUSD price market dashboard tracks real-time odds, price history, and 24-hour volume of $171 for the NZDUSD price market. It shows how traders on Kalshi are positioning around the expected exchange rate for the New Zealand dollar versus the U.S. dollar, offering a live view of market sentiment and activity.

Compared to traditional analyst forecasts, prediction market odds for this market often reflect a more immediate, crowd-sourced view of expectations. While analysts may incorporate macro models and longer-term trends, traders in this market price in real-time reactions to economic data, geopolitical developments, and market sentiment, which can lead to divergence or alignment depending on recent events.

On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders submit bids and asks based on their expectations for the NZDUSD rate. The current implied probability reflects the collective judgment of participants, adjusted for liquidity and open interest, and can shift rapidly with new information or market movements.

This market resolves around Sep 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public sources. The final NZDUSD price at the specified time will be the determining factor, based on authoritative financial data feeds and reported exchange rates.

Key signals that could move this market include major New Zealand or U.S. economic data releases, central bank announcements, shifts in risk sentiment, and geopolitical developments affecting currency markets. Traders will also watch for changes in interest rate expectations, trade balances, and any sudden volatility in the FX market that impacts the NZDUSD exchange rate.