TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$133,388,117

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,436,095,462

405,232

Markets across

30,526

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,693

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Financials
NZDUSD price on Aug 14 at 5:00 PM EDT
kalshi

NZDUSD price on Aug 14 at 5:00 PM EDT

Volume:
$1,271

Above 0.581

 - Kalshi

Above 0.581 - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 14, 2026

Closed: Aug 14, 5:00 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Above 0.581

View
100%
17%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$504
N/A
N/A
$304
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 0.587

100%
47%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$197
N/A
N/A
$196
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 0.585

100%
55%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$180
N/A
N/A
$135
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 0.583

100%
17%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$113
N/A
N/A
$107
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 0.567

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$2
N/A
N/A
$2
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 0.569

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$2
N/A
N/A
$2
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 0.571

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$2
N/A
N/A
$2
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 0.573

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$2
N/A
N/A
$2
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 0.575

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$2
N/A
N/A
$2
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 0.577

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1
N/A
N/A
$1
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 0.579

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1
N/A
N/A
$1
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 0.591

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$156
N/A
N/A
$156
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 0.595

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$101
N/A
N/A
$101
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 0.599

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$9
N/A
N/A
$2
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 0.589

N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 0.593

N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 0.597

N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 0.601

N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 0.603

N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 0.605

N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 20

Description

These markets track whether the NZDUSD exchange rate will exceed specific thresholds at a set time in the future. Each market corresponds to a different price level, and the outcome depends on the rate published by a designated data source at the exact expiration moment.

Kalshi

All markets resolve based on the NZDUSD exchange rate's opening candlestick value at 5pm ET on August 14, 2026, as published by Pyth. For each market, if the rate at that specific time is above the stated threshold — ranging from 0.567 to 0.605 — the market resolves to Yes; otherwise, it resolves to No. The resolution uses the rate rounded to four decimal places. If Pyth does not publish data at exactly 5pm ET, the most recent available value before that time is used. Any revisions to the exchange rate after the expiration time do not affect the resolution. This consistent framework applies uniformly across all thresholds, ensuring clarity and uniformity in determining outcomes for each market.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the dashboard tracks real-time odds, price history, and 24-hour volume for the NZDUSD price market. It shows how traders on this single venue are pricing the likelihood of different exchange rate outcomes as the event date approaches. The display updates continuously based on participant activity, reflecting the collective sentiment of Kalshi users toward where the NZDUSD pair will sit at the specified time.

Compared to traditional analyst forecasts, prediction market odds for this market often reveal a different perspective. Analysts may weigh long-term economic indicators, central bank policies, and geopolitical factors to project the NZDUSD price. In contrast, traders on Kalshi react to immediate market sentiment, news flow, and short-term speculation, which can create divergence from institutional outlooks. Monitoring both sources offers a fuller view of market expectations.

This market resolves around Aug 14, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public sources. The final price will be checked against widely accepted financial data providers at the specified time, ensuring an objective and transparent resolution process.

Several signals could shift expectations for this market before Aug 14, 2026. Key central bank announcements, especially from the Reserve Bank of New Zealand or the Federal Reserve, will heavily influence NZDUSD movements. Global risk sentiment, driven by geopolitical developments or commodity price swings, may also affect the pair. Additionally, domestic economic data releases—such as employment figures, inflation reports, or trade balances—from either New Zealand or the United States can cause rapid repricing of odds as traders adjust to new information.