TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 7, 5:00 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets tracks whether the NZDUSD exchange rate will exceed various threshold levels at a specific moment. Each market focuses on a different numerical boundary, allowing participants to assess the likelihood of the rate being above each specified value at the exact time and date indicated.
All markets resolve based on the NZDUSD exchange rate's opening candlestick value at 5pm ET on August 7, 2026, as published by Pyth. Each individual market has a unique threshold; if the rate at that time is above the respective threshold, the market resolves to Yes, otherwise to No. Data is rounded to four decimal places. If Pyth does not publish a value at the exact time, the most recent available value before the deadline is used. Any revisions to the exchange rate after the expiration time are disregarded when determining the resolution outcome.
Compared to traditional analyst forecasts, prediction market odds offer a real-time, trader-driven view of expectations for this market. While analysts may publish target levels or trend assessments based on economic indicators, the market price incorporates a broad range of inputs, including news flow and speculative positioning, often leading to divergent or complementary signals.
This market resolves around Aug 7, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final NZDUSD price at the specified time will be the decisive factor, determined by widely accepted financial data sources at that moment.
Key signals that could shift this market include major New Zealand or U.S. economic data releases, central bank policy announcements, geopolitical developments affecting currency flows, and shifts in global risk sentiment. Any unexpected events that influence the New Zealand or U.S. dollar will likely generate rapid price adjustments in the market as traders reassess expectations.