TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 18, 2:02 PM EST
Polymarket
This market will resolve according to the number of times NYC Mayor Zohran Mamdani (@NYCMayor), posts on X between September 11, 12:00 PM ET and September 18, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
This market will resolve according to the number of times NYC Mayor Zohran Mamdani (@NYCMayor), posts on X between September 11, 12:00 PM ET and September 18, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Currently, it’s difficult to directly compare the odds in this market to traditional polling averages, as polls focusing on the specific number of social media posts from the NYC Mayor are unlikely to exist. However, this market reflects a collective assessment of the mayor’s likely behavior and communication strategy during that week. If public opinion polls were to indicate a shift in the mayor’s popularity or a change in communication priorities, we might expect to see corresponding movements in the odds offered within this market. The market offers a unique, forward-looking perspective beyond simple approval ratings.
This market resolves around Sep 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the total number of posts made by the NYC Mayor on their official social media accounts during the specified period, from September 11 to September 18, 2026. The exact count will be determined by publicly available data, ensuring a transparent and objective resolution process. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings based on the final outcome.
Several signals or events could significantly move this market. Major policy announcements from the NYC Mayor, particularly those related to communication or public engagement, could influence trader expectations. Unexpected events requiring the mayor’s immediate attention – such as a natural disaster or public health crisis – might lead to increased or decreased posting activity. Changes in the mayor’s staffing or communication strategy could also be a catalyst. Finally, any significant shifts in public sentiment towards the mayor, even if not directly related to posting frequency, could impact the odds in this market.