TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$134,145,987

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,441,166,947

406,422

Markets across

30,383

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,688

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Politics
NYC Mayor # posts June 2 - June 9, 2026?
polymarket

NYC Mayor # posts June 2 - June 9, 2026?

Volume:
$8,837

40-59

 - Polymarket

40-59 - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jun 9, 2026

Closed: Jun 9, 12:00 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

40-59

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
1.7¢
N/A
$1,311
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

80-99

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,276
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

20-39

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,218
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

<20

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$913
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

60-79

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$795
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

100-119

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$717
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

180-199

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$564
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

160-179

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$536
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

120-139

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$524
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

200+

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$511
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

140-159

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$471
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 11

Description

This market will resolve according to the number of times NYC Mayor Zohran Mamdani (@NYCMayor), posts on X between June 2, 12:00 PM ET and June 9, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction market odds on Polymarket reflect traders' collective expectations about the Mayor's posting frequency during June 2–9, 2026, based on historical behavior, communication patterns, and anticipated events. Unlike traditional polls, which ask direct questions about voter preferences, prediction markets price outcomes through real-money incentives, making them sensitive to recent news cycles, social media trends, and the Mayor's typical engagement levels. Market odds tend to adjust faster than polling as new information emerges, offering a dynamic alternative to static survey data.

The market resolves on Jun 9, 2026, after the June 2–9, 2026 observation window closes. Resolution is determined by counting the total number of posts published by the NYC Mayor across all official channels during that seven-day period. The final count is verified against official records to determine which outcome bracket is correct and settles all positions accordingly. Traders should monitor for any clarifications on which platforms or account types are included in the official count.

Several factors could shift market odds before June 2026. Major city events—budget announcements, crises, or public hearings—typically increase mayoral communication volume. Changes in the Mayor's communication strategy or staff turnover could alter posting patterns. Election cycles, legislative deadlines, or high-profile controversies may drive urgency and frequency. Historical posting data released closer to the event window will refine trader expectations. Additionally, shifts in the Mayor's social media priorities or platform focus could influence the final count, making recent communication trends a key leading indicator.