TOTAL VOLUME:

$134b

24H VOL:

$107,351,958

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,416,970,024

400,720

Markets across

30,097

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,633

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

BETA
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Politics
NYC Mayor # posts July 21 - July 28, 2026?
polymarket

NYC Mayor # posts July 21 - July 28, 2026?

Volume:
$22,244

40-59

 - Polymarket

40-59 - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jul 28, 2026

Closed: Jul 28, 2:24 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

40-59

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$7,844
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

20-39

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$7,457
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

60-79

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,487
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

120-139

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$747
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

180-199

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$736
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

140-159

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$731
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

160-179

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$731
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

200+

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$692
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

80-99

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$638
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

100-119

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$607
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

<20

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$576
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 11

Description

This market will resolve according to the number of times NYC Mayor Zohran Mamdani (@NYCMayor), posts on X between July 21, 12:00 PM ET and July 28, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

Polymarket

This market will resolve according to the number of times NYC Mayor Zohran Mamdani (@NYCMayor), posts on X between July 21, 12:00 PM ET and July 28, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction markets and traditional polls measure different things. Polls typically ask voters about preferences or approval, while this market quantifies a specific, measurable event: the exact count of social media posts. Prediction market odds incorporate real-money incentives, making traders highly motivated to forecast accurately. Unlike polls, which capture sentiment at a single moment, market prices update continuously as new information emerges. For a concrete, countable outcome like mayoral post volume, prediction markets often prove more precise than polling methodologies designed for opinion measurement.

This market resolves around Jul 28, 2026, once the trading window closes and the week of July 21–28, 2026 concludes. The outcome is determined by counting the total number of posts the NYC Mayor publishes across all social media channels during that seven-day period. The final count is verified against credible public sources to confirm which outcome range is correct. Traders holding positions in the winning outcome receive their payout based on the market's final odds at resolution.

Several factors could shift odds before Jul 28, 2026. Major political announcements, scandals, or policy developments involving the Mayor could alter expected posting frequency. Changes in the Mayor's communication strategy or staffing in the social media office might signal higher or lower activity. Real-time post counts published during the week itself will drive the most dramatic price moves as traders gain concrete data. Media coverage of the Mayor's social media presence, shifts in political momentum, or unexpected events requiring public statements could all influence trader expectations about final post volume.