TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 24, 2:14 PM EST
Polymarket
This market will resolve according to the number of times NYC Mayor Zohran Mamdani (@NYCMayor), posts on X between July 17, 12:00 PM ET and July 24, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
This market will resolve according to the number of times NYC Mayor Zohran Mamdani (@NYCMayor), posts on X between July 17, 12:00 PM ET and July 24, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Prediction markets and traditional polls measure different things: polls ask respondents what they expect, while this market aggregates real-money bets from traders who profit or lose based on the actual outcome. Prediction markets often incorporate faster-moving information and incentivize accuracy, which can lead to odds that diverge from poll snapshots. For social media activity forecasts like this one, market prices tend to reflect recent posting patterns and upcoming events more dynamically than static survey data.
This market resolves around Jul 24, 2026, after the conclusion of the week in question. The outcome is determined by counting the total number of posts published by the NYC Mayor across social media platforms during July 17–24, 2026, and verified against credible public sources. Once the final count is confirmed, the market settles to the outcome bucket that matches the actual total, and traders holding shares in the winning outcome receive their payout.
Several factors could shift odds in this market. Major news events or political developments during the target week may prompt increased or decreased social media activity from the NYC Mayor's office. Changes in communication strategy, campaign announcements, or responses to breaking news could all influence posting volume. Additionally, as the week of July 17–24 approaches, traders may adjust positions based on historical posting patterns, scheduled public appearances, or statements about media engagement from City Hall.