TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$134,145,987

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,441,166,947

406,422

Markets across

30,383

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,688

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Politics
NYC Mayor # posts August 14 - August 21, 2026?
polymarket

NYC Mayor # posts August 14 - August 21, 2026?

Volume:
$31,092

20-39

 - Polymarket

20-39 - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 21, 2026

Closed: Aug 21, 2:03 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

20-39

View
100%
4%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$10,174
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

40-59

0%
4%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$9,233
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

60-79

0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$4,139
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

<20

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,909
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

80-99

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,759
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

100-119

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$664
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

120-139

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$644
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

140-159

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$644
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

180-199

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$644
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

200+

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$644
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

160-179

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$638
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 11

Description

This market will resolve according to the number of times NYC Mayor Zohran Mamdani (@NYCMayor), posts on X between August 14, 12:00 PM ET and August 21, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

Polymarket

This market will resolve according to the number of times NYC Mayor Zohran Mamdani (@NYCMayor), posts on X between August 14, 12:00 PM ET and August 21, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

Frequently asked questions

Unlike traditional polls that sample public opinion, this market uses real-money bets to reflect trader expectations about the NYC Mayor's activity level. While polls might gauge voter sentiment or approval ratings, this market focuses narrowly on quantifiable behavior — the exact number of posts made within a defined timeframe. The current odds reveal a strong inclination toward certain post-count bands, often diverging from broader analyst forecasts because market participants react to micro-signals and news cycles in real time.

This market resolves around Aug 21, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public sources. The final count of posts published by the NYC Mayor during the official August 14–21, 2026 window determines which post-range wins, closing the market and settling all positions based on the verified tally.

Key signals that could shift this market include official schedule releases, major policy announcements, emergency statements, or any high-profile media appearances by the NYC Mayor that affect posting frequency. Conversely, technical glitches, verified account pauses, or confirmed absences from social platforms might reduce expected activity and push odds toward lower post-count ranges. Traders will closely monitor the mayor’s public calendar and real-time social-media behavior as the Aug 21, 2026 window approaches.