TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: May 29, 4:00 PM EST
Polymarket
This market tracks whether the NYSE Composite Index will close higher or lower on Friday, May 29, 2026 compared to the previous trading day's close. On Polymarket, the probability of an up move stands at 82.0%, with resolution determined by official closing prices from the Wall Street Journal's market data. Watch the market's reaction to any major economic data releases or Federal Reserve communications in the days leading up to May 29, 2026, as these typically drive broad index movement.
On Polymarket, the NYA (NYA) Up or Down on May 29 contract is priced as a binary outcome: traders buy shares representing either an up or down move by May 29, 2026. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current market probability reflects the collective assessment of all active traders. Share prices range from 0 to 1 (or 0 to 100 cents), where a higher price signals stronger conviction in that outcome. Liquidity and order-book spreads determine how easily traders can enter or exit positions, and prices adjust continuously as new trades execute.
The NYA (NYA) Up or Down on May 29 market resolves on May 29, 2026. Resolution is determined by whether NYA has moved upward or downward relative to a specified reference price or level at that time. Traders should review the market's official resolution criteria and data source to understand exactly how the outcome will be measured and verified. Once the resolution date arrives, the market settles based on the confirmed final price or level, and winning shares are redeemed at full value.
NYA price action between now and May 29, 2026 will be shaped by macroeconomic data, equity market breadth trends, sector rotation, and volatility regime shifts. Key catalysts include Federal Reserve communications, inflation reports, earnings surprises, and geopolitical developments that influence risk appetite. Technical levels and momentum indicators may also trigger algorithmic trading and position adjustments. Traders monitoring this market should watch for changes in market structure, implied volatility, and correlation patterns that historically precede directional moves in the broader equity complex.