TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$126,324,530

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,434,646,834

406,019

Markets across

30,401

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,689

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

BETA
Dashboards
Tour
All
Financials
NYA (NYA) Up or Down on June 3?
polymarket

NYA (NYA) Up or Down on June 3?

Volume:
$329

NYA (NYA) Up or Down on June 3?

 - Polymarket

NYA (NYA) Up or Down on June 3? - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jun 3, 2026

Closed: Jun 3, 4:00 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

NYA (NYA) Up or Down on June 3?

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$329
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 1

Description

This market will resolve to "Up" if the official NYSE Composite Index closing price for NYA (NYA) on Wednesday, June 3, 2026 is higher than the official NYSE Composite Index closing price for NYA on the most recent prior trading day. This market will resolve to "Down" if the official NYSE Composite Index closing price for NYA (NYA) on Wednesday, June 3, 2026 is lower than the official NYSE Composite Index closing price for NYA on the most recent prior trading day. E.g., ordinarily, a market on Monday would refer to the previous Friday for its most recent closing price, unless that Friday were a market holiday, in which case it would refer to Thursday, or the next most recent trading day. If the two specified closing prices are exactly equal, this market will resolve 50-50. Note that all figures will be rounded to the nearest cent using standard rounding. If NYA does not trade at all during the regular session, the market will resolve 50-50. If either of the relevant days are shortened (for example, due to a market holiday schedule), the official closing price published by NYSE Composite Index for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If either of the relevant days have no official closing price (for example, due to a trading halt into the market close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price. The resolution source for this market is the Wall Street Journal, specifically the Close values published by the WSJ under "Historical Prices". US: https://www.wsj.com/market-data/stocks EMEA: https://www.wsj.com/market-data/stocks/emea ASIA: https://www.wsj.com/market-data/stocks/asia

Frequently asked questions

The NYA (NYA) Up or Down on June 3? dashboard on Polymarket tracks real-time odds and historical price data for this financial event. It displays the current probability that NYA will move up or down by the resolution date, updated continuously as traders place bets. The dashboard captures trading volume, order-book depth, and price history to help you monitor market sentiment. You can view how odds have shifted over time and identify key support and resistance levels in the prediction market.

Prediction market odds on Polymarket reflect aggregated trader sentiment and often incorporate information faster than traditional analyst forecasts. While Wall Street analysts may issue periodic reports on NYA direction, the prediction market updates continuously as new data emerges. Comparing the two reveals whether the crowd is more bullish or bearish than consensus estimates. Divergences can signal either market inefficiency or analyst lag, making side-by-side comparison valuable for identifying potential trading opportunities and understanding where smart money is positioning.

On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. NYA (NYA) Up or Down on June 3 is priced on Polymarket as a binary outcome contract where traders buy shares representing either an up or down move. The price of each outcome reflects the probability assigned by the market, ranging from 0 to 1 (or 0% to 100%). As traders buy and sell, prices adjust dynamically based on supply and demand. The current market probability is visible in real time, allowing you to assess whether the odds favor an up or down outcome and execute trades accordingly at prevailing prices.

Several catalysts could influence NYA direction by June 3. Macroeconomic data releases, Federal Reserve communications, and broader equity market sentiment are key drivers. Corporate earnings announcements, sector-specific news, and geopolitical developments may also impact the index. Technical factors such as support and resistance levels, options expiration dates, and institutional positioning can create momentum shifts. Monitoring economic calendars, central bank statements, and market breadth indicators will help you anticipate moves and adjust your prediction market position accordingly before resolution.