TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$126,324,530

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,434,646,834

406,019

Markets across

30,401

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,689

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

BETA
Dashboards
Insights
Indices
Tour
All
Trending
Breaking
New
Ending Soon
Politics
Sports
Crypto
Companies
Elections
Financials
Economics
Other
Entertainment
Science and Technology
NY-13 Democratic Primary Winner
polymarket

NY-13 Democratic Primary Winner

Volume:
$580,132

Darializa Avila Chevalier

 - Polymarket

Darializa Avila Chevalier - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jun 24, 2026

Closed: Jun 22, 8:00 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Darializa Avila Chevalier

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$225,862
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Adriano Espaillat

View
0%
Yes 0.1¢No 99.9¢
—
$354,295
$331,714
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Matt Miller

View
0%
Yes 0.1¢No 99.9¢
—
$348,010
$6,453
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

James Felton Keith

View
0%
Yes 0.1¢No 99.9¢
—
$349,157
$2,365
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Theo Chino-Tavarez

View
0%
Yes 0.1¢No 99.9¢
—
$345,938
$2,357
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Megan Rodriguez

View
0%
Yes 0.1¢No 99.9¢
—
$345,141
$2,029
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Jaleel Amador

View
0%
Yes 0.1¢No 99.9¢
—
$347,905
$1,523
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Oscar Romero

View
0%
Yes 0.1¢No 99.9¢
—
N/A
$7,829
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Other

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Person A

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Person B

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Person C

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Person D

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Person E

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Person F

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Person G

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Person H

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Person I

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Person J

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Person K

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Person L

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Person M

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Person N

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Person O

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Person P

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 25 of 35

Intro

This market tracks which candidate will secure the Democratic Party nomination to represent New York's 13th congressional district in the 2026 midterm elections. On Polymarket, Darializa Avila Chevalier holds 66.0% probability of winning the nomination, while Adriano Espaillat stands at 30.0%. Resolution will be determined by official Democratic Party sources, including democrats.org. Watch the June 23, 2026 Democratic primary election as the key catalyst for settlement.

Polymarket

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NY-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Frequently asked questions

The NY-13 Democratic Primary Winner dashboard on Polymarket tracks real-time odds and pricing for all Democratic primary candidates competing for the New York 13th Congressional District nomination. You can monitor live probability estimates, historical price charts, and 24-hour trading volume of $202,362 to see how market sentiment shifts as the primary approaches. The dashboard displays the current frontrunner and allows you to compare candidate odds side-by-side, with total market volume reaching $580,082. This data updates continuously as traders adjust positions based on campaign developments, endorsements, and polling news.

Prediction market odds on Polymarket often diverge from traditional polling because traders incorporate real-time information, fundraising data, and ground-level campaign momentum that polls may lag in capturing. While polls measure voter preference at a single moment, prediction markets aggregate ongoing bets from participants with financial incentive to forecast accurately. For the NY-13 Democratic primary, comparing market odds to recent polling snapshots can reveal whether traders are pricing in factors polls haven't yet reflected, such as late endorsements or campaign spending shifts. Both sources offer valuable but distinct perspectives on candidate viability.

The NY-13 Democratic Primary Winner market resolves on Jun 23, 2026, following the official Democratic primary election for New York's 13th Congressional District. Resolution is determined by the candidate who receives the Democratic Party nomination for the general election seat. The market will settle once the primary results are certified and the winner is officially declared. Traders should monitor the New York State Board of Elections and Democratic Party announcements for confirmation of the final outcome. Any disputes or recounts would be resolved according to the platform's standard procedures before final settlement.

Key catalysts for NY-13 Democratic Primary Winner odds include major endorsements from local or national Democratic figures, campaign finance disclosures showing fundraising strength, debate performances and media coverage, and shifts in voter registration or turnout expectations. Ground-level organizing efforts and field operations in the district can signal candidate momentum. Primary debates, if held, often trigger sharp market repricing. Unexpected candidate withdrawals or entries would dramatically reshape odds. Local news coverage of district issues, union endorsements, and grassroots organizing metrics also influence trader positioning. As primary day approaches, early voting data and exit polling would drive final price adjustments before resolution.