TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Alex Bores
- Kalshi
Alex Bores - Kalshi
1W
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Vol.
·
Resolved Jul 20, 2026
Latest in Elections
Closed: Jul 20, 10:47 AM EST
Kalshi
Intro
This market tracks whether Alex Bores will finish in second place in the NY-12 Democratic primary election. On Kalshi, the probability of this outcome stands at 97.0%. Resolution will be determined by the certified results from the NY-12 Democratic primary, as reported by official election authorities. Watch for the primary election scheduled for June 23, 2027, when certified results will determine the final placement and settle this market.
Kalshi
Ranking is determined by the specified counting method: for plurality voting, rank is based on vote count or percentage; for ranked choice voting, rank is determined by elimination order with the runner-up eliminated in the final round for second place; for two-round systems, rank is based on final round results if it proceeds to a second round, otherwise first-round totals; for proportional representation, rank follows the electoral authority's final seat allocation order. In case of exact ties, markets resolve proportionally (1/number of tied entities). Write-in candidates achieving the specified rank resolve all named candidate markets to No unless a specific "Write-in" or "Other" option exists. Candidates who withdraw or are disqualified after the filing deadline but remain on the ballot are ranked based on votes received. If the election is cancelled or postponed beyond expiration, all markets resolve to No.
Frequently asked questions
Prediction market odds on Kalshi often diverge from traditional polling averages because markets incorporate real-money incentives and forward-looking trader expectations. While polls capture voter sentiment at a single moment, prediction markets reflect traders' beliefs about the actual outcome and can price in late-breaking campaign news, donor momentum, or organizational strength faster than polls update. For the NY-12 Democratic primary second-place race, comparing market-implied probabilities to recent polling snapshots reveals whether traders are more or less confident than pollsters about specific candidates' viability. This gap can signal where informed money sees value or risk.
The NY-12 Democratic primary: 2nd place market resolves on Jun 23, 2027, following the official primary election. Resolution is determined by the official vote count and certification of results by New York State election authorities. The market will settle based on which candidate finishes in the second position by total votes cast in the Democratic primary for NY-12. Once results are certified and verified, the market outcome is locked in and payouts are distributed accordingly to winning traders.
Several catalysts could shift odds for the second-place finish in NY-12's Democratic primary. Major endorsements from party leaders, unions, or influential local figures can boost a candidate's perceived viability. Debate performances, media coverage, and campaign spending announcements often trigger repricing. Candidate withdrawals or consolidations reshape the field and alter second-place probabilities. Polling releases showing momentum shifts or demographic strength in specific districts will influence trader expectations. Fundraising reports revealing financial strength or weakness affect perceived competitiveness. Late-stage scandals or gaffes can rapidly alter market sentiment. Turnout predictions and early voting patterns in the final weeks also drive significant price movement.
