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NY-10 Democratic Primary Winner
polymarket

NY-10 Democratic Primary Winner

Volume:
$24,111

Brad Lander

 - Polymarket

Brad Lander - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jun 25, 2026

Closed: Jun 22, 8:00 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Brad Lander

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$8,637
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Dan Goldman

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$8,280
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Yuh-Line Niou

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,469
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Cameron Kasky

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,435
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Alexa Avilés

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,290
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Candidate B

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Candidate D

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Candidate F

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Candidate H

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Candidate J

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Candidate L

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Candidate N

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Other

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Candidate A

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Candidate C

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Candidate E

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Candidate G

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Candidate I

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Candidate K

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Candidate M

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Candidate O

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 21

Intro

This market tracks which candidate will secure the Democratic Party nomination to represent New York's 10th congressional district in the 2026 midterm elections. On Polymarket, Brad Lander holds 89.5% probability of winning the nomination, while Dan Goldman stands at 8.0%. Resolution will be determined by official Democratic Party sources, including democrats.org, based on the outcome of the Democratic primary scheduled for June 23, 2026. Watch the primary election on that date for the definitive result.

Polymarket

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NY-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Frequently asked questions

The NY-10 Democratic Primary Winner dashboard on Polymarket tracks real-time odds and price movements for the leading Democratic nominee candidate in New York's 10th congressional district primary. The dashboard displays current implied probabilities, historical price charts, and trading volume data to help you monitor how the market is pricing each potential outcome. You can follow shifts in trader sentiment as new campaign developments, endorsements, or polling data emerge throughout the race leading up to the primary election.

Prediction market odds on Polymarket often diverge from traditional polling averages because traders incorporate real-time information, campaign momentum, and insider knowledge that polls may lag in capturing. While polls provide snapshot estimates of voter preference at a single moment, prediction markets aggregate continuous trading activity and financial incentives, allowing odds to shift rapidly in response to breaking news, debate performance, or fundraising announcements. Comparing the two reveals whether the market is pricing in factors that surveys have not yet fully reflected.

The NY-10 Democratic Primary Winner market is scheduled to resolve on Jun 23, 2026. Resolution is determined by the official result of the Democratic primary election in New York's 10th congressional district. The market will settle based on which candidate is certified as the Democratic nominee by relevant election authorities. Traders should monitor official primary results and any potential recount or certification processes that may affect the final determination of the winner.

Key catalysts for NY-10 Democratic Primary Winner odds include major endorsements from party leaders or influential figures, debate performances or public campaign events, shifts in fundraising totals or spending, new polling releases, media coverage of candidate scandals or achievements, and grassroots organizing announcements. Voter registration trends, early voting data, and turnout models in the district can also trigger significant price movements. Additionally, changes in the broader political environment or national Democratic Party dynamics may influence local primary sentiment and trader positioning in the market.