TOTAL VOLUME:

$134b

24H VOL:

$103,397,351

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,410,176,180

399,592

Markets across

30,097

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,622

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

BETA
Dashboards
Insights
Indices
Tour
All
Trending
Breaking
New
Ending Soon
Politics
Sports
Crypto
Companies
Elections
Financials
Economics
Other
Entertainment
Science and Technology
NY-06 Democratic nominee?
kalshi

NY-06 Democratic nominee?

Volume:
$92,249

Grace Meng

 - Kalshi

Grace Meng - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jun 24, 2026

Closed: Jun 23, 9:31 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Grace Meng

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$48,374
N/A
N/A
$27,250
1mo 4d
Yes
kalshi

Charles Park

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$42,279
N/A
N/A
$34,796
1mo 4d
No
kalshi

Yan Xiong

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,596
N/A
N/A
$1,064
1mo 4d
No
Total markets: 3

Intro

This market tracks which candidate will secure the Democratic Party nomination for the 2026 U.S. House seat in New York's 6th congressional district. On Kalshi, Grace Meng holds 87.0% probability of winning the Democratic nomination, while Charles Park stands at 9.0%. The market resolves based on official confirmation of the Democratic Party nominee for NY-06. Watch the 2026 general election on November 3rd, 2026, when the Democratic nominee's viability in the general contest will be determined.

Kalshi

The market resolves to Yes if any of the specified candidates—Grace Meng, Charles Park, or Yan Xiong—wins the Democratic Party nomination for the 2026 NY-06 House seat. Each candidate's nomination victory independently triggers a Yes resolution for that candidate's market.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction market odds on Kalshi often diverge from traditional polling because traders incorporate real-time information, campaign momentum, and insider knowledge that polls may lag. While polls capture voter preference at a single moment, prediction markets continuously update as new events occur—fundraising reports, debate performances, or organizational strength become apparent. Markets tend to weight recent developments more heavily than polls, which can make them more responsive to shifting dynamics. Comparing Kalshi odds to major polling aggregators reveals whether the market is pricing in candidate viability that surveys have not yet fully reflected.

The NY-06 Democratic nominee market resolves on Nov 3, 2026. Resolution is determined by the official outcome of the Democratic primary election or nominating process in New York's 6th congressional district. The market will settle based on which candidate is certified as the Democratic nominee by relevant state and party authorities. Traders should monitor official election results and any party-specific nomination rules that may apply to this race.

Key catalysts for NY-06 Democratic nominee odds include candidate announcements and entry or exit from the race, major endorsements from local or national figures, fundraising reports showing financial strength or weakness, debate performances and media coverage, polling releases indicating shifts in voter preference, and grassroots organizing milestones. Primary election dates in neighboring districts or states can also signal momentum. Unexpected scandals, gaffes, or strategic pivots by campaigns will likely trigger sharp repricing. Traders should monitor local New York political news, candidate social media, and FEC filings for early signals of shifting dynamics.