TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 18, 4:00 PM EST
Kalshi
The event tracks potential fluctuations in the hourly computational cost of the NVIDIA RTX 5090 GPU on a specific date, reflecting how market demand or supply changes could influence pricing in cloud computing or cryptocurrency mining environments.
All markets resolve based on the NVIDIA RTX 5090 compute per hour value at 4 PM ET on September 18, 2026, as reported by Ornn (https://dashboard.ornnai.com/). If Ornn does not publish data for that exact time, the most recent available data prior to the expiration will be used. Post-expiration revisions to the underlying data are disregarded. All values are evaluated in USD and rounded to two decimal places. Each market has a specific threshold; if the reported value exceeds the threshold (e.g., above $0.15, $0.20, etc.), the market resolves to Yes; otherwise, it resolves to No.
On Kalshi, the odds from this market often reflect a blend of recent trading trends and broader market expectations, but they can diverge from traditional analyst forecasts. While analysts may issue detailed reports based on historical performance and supply chain data, this market’s price is driven by real-time trader sentiment and may react more quickly to short-term news or rumors affecting GPU pricing.
On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, traders set the odds through a continuous double-auction process, where bids and asks converge to determine the current implied probability. The market price reflects the collective assessment of participants about the likelihood of different hourly price ranges for the RTX 5090 on September 18. Trading volume of $25,308 provides insight into market interest and liquidity, while price fluctuations respond to new information and shifts in trader sentiment leading up to Sep 18, 2026.
This market resolves around Sep 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final hourly price will be determined by authoritative market data sources at that specific time, and the market will close accordingly.
Several signals could shift this market before Sep 18, 2026. Major announcements from NVIDIA, changes in GPU supply chains, shifts in cryptocurrency mining trends, or broader economic factors affecting tech spending could all influence trader expectations. Additionally, competing product launches or significant geopolitical events impacting global logistics may cause rapid movements in this market’s pricing.