TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: May 29, 5:00 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks whether the hourly compute cost of an NVIDIA RTX 5090 graphics processor will exceed $0.87 per hour by the resolution date. On Kalshi, the leading outcome—that RTX 5090 compute pricing moves upward—stands at 99.0%. Resolution will be determined by official pricing data on May 29, 2026, according to the specified benchmark threshold. Watch for NVIDIA's official RTX 5090 pricing announcements and any shifts in GPU compute market rates leading up to May 29, 2026, as these will directly influence whether the threshold is met.
Key catalysts include NVIDIA's quarterly earnings reports, data center demand trends, and competitive GPU announcements from AMD or Intel. Supply chain disruptions, manufacturing cost changes, and shifts in enterprise AI spending could pressure pricing strategy. Geopolitical export restrictions or tariff policy may influence production costs and margins. NVIDIA's official RTX 5090 launch timing and positioning relative to prior-generation SKUs will signal pricing intent. Broader semiconductor industry trends, memory costs, and customer feedback on compute performance-per-dollar will also shape market expectations. Traders should monitor tech conferences, analyst notes, and NVIDIA guidance for directional clues.