TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$113,466,932

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,423,222,590

402,751

Markets across

30,217

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,632

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

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Kalshi:

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Science and Technology
NVIDIA RTX 5090 Compute Price Up or Down by May 29, 2026?
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NVIDIA RTX 5090 Compute Price Up or Down by May 29, 2026?

Volume:
$342

Price to Beat: 0.87

 - Kalshi

Price to Beat: 0.87 - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved May 29, 2026

Closed: May 29, 5:00 PM EST

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Price to Beat: 0.87

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$342
N/A
N/A
$219
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 1

Intro

This market tracks whether the hourly compute cost of an NVIDIA RTX 5090 graphics processor will exceed $0.87 per hour by the resolution date. On Kalshi, the leading outcome—that RTX 5090 compute pricing moves upward—stands at 99.0%. Resolution will be determined by official pricing data on May 29, 2026, according to the specified benchmark threshold. Watch for NVIDIA's official RTX 5090 pricing announcements and any shifts in GPU compute market rates leading up to May 29, 2026, as these will directly influence whether the threshold is met.

Frequently asked questions

This dashboard tracks real-time prediction market odds for whether NVIDIA's RTX 5090 compute GPU will trade higher or lower by May 29, 2026. On Kalshi, you can monitor the current implied probability of the up outcome, historical price movements, and 24-hour trading volume of $30. The total group volume stands at $342, reflecting cumulative trader interest in this technology pricing event. The dashboard updates continuously as new trades execute, helping you gauge market sentiment on GPU pricing trends through the resolution date.

Key catalysts include NVIDIA's quarterly earnings reports, data center demand trends, and competitive GPU announcements from AMD or Intel. Supply chain disruptions, manufacturing cost changes, and shifts in enterprise AI spending could pressure pricing strategy. Geopolitical export restrictions or tariff policy may influence production costs and margins. NVIDIA's official RTX 5090 launch timing and positioning relative to prior-generation SKUs will signal pricing intent. Broader semiconductor industry trends, memory costs, and customer feedback on compute performance-per-dollar will also shape market expectations. Traders should monitor tech conferences, analyst notes, and NVIDIA guidance for directional clues.