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NVIDIA (NVDA) Up or Down on September 28?
polymarket

NVIDIA (NVDA) Up or Down on September 28?

Volume:
$2,549

NVIDIA (NVDA) Up or Down on September 28?

 - Polymarket

NVIDIA (NVDA) Up or Down on September 28? - Polymarket

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Resolved Sep 28, 2026

Closed: Sep 28, 4:20 PM EST

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NVIDIA (NVDA) Up or Down on September 28?

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100%
44%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$2,549
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 1

Description

This market will resolve to "Up" if the Close price for NVIDIA (NVDA) on September 28, 2026 is higher than the Close price for NVIDIA (NVDA) on the most recent prior trading day. This market will resolve to "Down" if the Close price for NVIDIA (NVDA) on September 28, 2026 is lower than the Close price for NVIDIA (NVDA) on the most recent prior trading day. E.g., ordinarily, a market on Monday would refer to the previous Friday for its most recent closing price, unless that Friday were a market holiday, in which case it would refer to Thursday, or the next most recent trading day. If the two specified closing prices are exactly equal, this market will resolve 50-50. Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding. If NVIDIA (NVDA) does not trade at all during the regular session, the market will resolve 50-50. For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If either of the relevant days has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day. Only prices achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange on which the listed security trades (typically 9:30 AM – 4:00 PM ET) will be considered. In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.NVDA%2FUSD. Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter. Any timestamp within the listed market time frame may be used to view the relevant candle data (e.g., https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.NVDA%2FUSD?t=1773432000).

Polymarket

This market will resolve to "Up" if the Close price for NVIDIA (NVDA) on September 28, 2026 is higher than the Close price for NVIDIA (NVDA) on the most recent prior trading day. This market will resolve to "Down" if the Close price for NVIDIA (NVDA) on September 28, 2026 is lower than the Close price for NVIDIA (NVDA) on the most recent prior trading day. E.g., ordinarily, a market on Monday would refer to the previous Friday for its most recent closing price, unless that Friday were a market holiday, in which case it would refer to Thursday, or the next most recent trading day. If the two specified closing prices are exactly equal, this market will resolve 50-50. Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding. If NVIDIA (NVDA) does not trade at all during the regular session, the market will resolve 50-50. For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If either of the relevant days has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day. Only prices achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange on which the listed security trades (typically 9:30 AM – 4:00 PM ET) will be considered. In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.NVDA%2FUSD. Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter. Any timestamp within the listed market time frame may be used to view the relevant candle data (e.g., https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.NVDA%2FUSD?t=1773432000).

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket, the dashboard for the NVIDIA stock market tracks the current odds that NVIDIA (NVDA) stock will be up or down on September 28. It displays the implied probability of each outcome, along with the total volume traded in this market, currently at $2,383, and the 24-hour volume, which is $2,326. The dashboard also provides a price history chart, allowing users to visualize how the market has priced in new information over time. This provides a clear overview of trader sentiment regarding NVIDIA’s performance.

Currently, prediction market participants are expressing a strong conviction about the direction of the NVIDIA stock market. To compare, consider recent analyst forecasts: are they generally bullish, bearish, or neutral on NVIDIA? Do their price targets align with the implied probabilities reflected in this market? It's important to note that prediction markets aggregate the wisdom of the crowd, potentially offering a different perspective than individual analyst opinions, which may be subject to biases or limited information. Examining the contrast between these viewpoints can provide a more comprehensive understanding of potential outcomes.

On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism. Traders buy and sell shares representing their belief about whether NVIDIA (NVDA) stock will be up or down on September 28. The price of these shares fluctuates based on supply and demand, directly reflecting the collective prediction of market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The higher the demand for shares predicting an increase, the higher the price, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market odds accurately represent the current consensus view on NVIDIA’s future stock performance.

This market resolves around Sep 28, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the resolution will be based on whether the closing price of NVIDIA (NVDA) stock on September 28 is higher or lower than its opening price on the same day. This is a straightforward comparison that provides a clear and objective determination of the market’s outcome. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings or adjust their strategies based on the verified result.

Several signals or events could significantly move this market before Sep 28, 2026. Major catalysts include NVIDIA’s earnings reports, any significant announcements regarding new products or partnerships, and broader macroeconomic trends affecting the technology sector. Unexpected news related to competitors, changes in regulatory policies, or even shifts in investor sentiment could also impact the price of NVIDIA stock and, consequently, the odds in this market. Monitoring these factors will be crucial for understanding potential shifts in trader expectations.