TOTAL VOLUME:

$134b

24H VOL:

$87,176,691

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,391,958,194

394,660

Markets across

30,119

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,626

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

BETA

Science and Technology

NVIDIA (NVDA) Up or Down on July 13?

limitless

polymarket

NVIDIA (NVDA) Up or Down on July 13?

Volume:

$3,444

NVIDIA (NVDA) Up or Down on July 13?

- Polymarket

NVIDIA (NVDA) Up or Down on July 13? - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jul 13, 2026

Closed: Jul 13, 4:00 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

Markets

Outcome

Trade

Chance %

Price

Spread

Liquidity

Volume

24h

7d

Open Interest

Ends in

Result

polymarket

NVIDIA (NVDA) Up or Down on July 13?

0%

Yes 0¢

No 100¢

—

N/A

$2,942

N/A

N/A

N/A

Settled

Yes

limitless

NVIDIA (NVDA) Up or Down - Daily

0%

Yes 0¢

No 100¢

3¢

N/A

$502

N/A

N/A

N/A

Settled

No

Total markets: 2

Description

This event group tracks whether NVIDIA (NVDA) stock closes higher or lower on July 13, 2026 compared to the most recent prior trading day. Both markets use Pyth as the primary data source and apply identical comparison logic, with fallback procedures for data gaps or trading halts.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

Both platforms compare July 13, 2026 close to prior trading day close using identical Pyth data hierarchy and fallback procedures; only minor divergence on tie handling (50-50 vs DOWN) is immaterial to binary outcome.Primary resolution logic: Pyth NVDA/USD price feed (https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.NVDA%2FUSD), specifically the Close value of the 1-minute candle at end of regular trading hours

Core resolution logic:

Compare Pyth Close price for July 13, 2026 (end of regular session) against Pyth Close price for most recent prior trading day
UP: July 13 close strictly higher than prior day close
DOWN: July 13 close lower than or equal to prior day close (Limitless) or 50-50 if equal (Polymarket)
Prior trading day determined by calendar: ordinarily previous calendar day, but skip market holidays to find most recent actual trading day
Use Pyth 1-minute candle Close at 4:00 PM ET (end of regular hours) as the official price for each day
If Pyth Close unavailable for a day, use last valid Pyth price during that day's regular hours
If no valid Pyth price exists due to outage or data failure, use official closing price from primary exchange (NASDAQ)
Apply split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth if any corporate action occurs during timeframe
If NVDA does not trade during regular session on July 13, resolve DOWN (Limitless) or 50-50 (Polymarket)

Edge cases & clarifications:

Exact Price Equality: Polymarket resolves 50-50; Limitless resolves DOWN. Both outcomes are mathematically equivalent for binary betting purposes.
No Trading on July 13: Polymarket resolves 50-50; Limitless resolves DOWN. Reflects no price movement data available.
Pyth Data Outage: Both platforms fall back to official NASDAQ closing price for the affected day(s).
Stock Split or Corporate Action: Both platforms use split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth; comparison remains valid across the event.
Prior Trading Day Identification: If July 12 is a market holiday, both platforms compare July 13 against July 11 (or next most recent trading day).

Timing: Resolution occurs after market close on July 13, 2026 (approximately 4:00 PM ET) once Pyth publishes the final 1-minute candle Close value for that day.Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This market will resolve to "Up" if the Close price for NVIDIA (NVDA) on July 13, 2026 is higher than the Close price for NVIDIA (NVDA) on the most recent prior trading day. This market will resolve to "Down" if the Close price for NVIDIA (NVDA) on July 13, 2026 is lower than the Close price for NVIDIA (NVDA) on the most recent prior trading day. E.g., ordinarily, a market on Monday would refer to the previous Friday for its most recent closing price, unless that Friday were a market holiday, in which case it would refer to Thursday, or the next most recent trading day. If the two specified closing prices are exactly equal, this market will resolve 50-50. Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding. If NVIDIA (NVDA) does not trade at all during the regular session, the market will resolve 50-50. For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If either of the relevant days has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day. Only prices achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange on which the listed security trades (typically 9:30 AM – 4:00 PM ET) will be considered. In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.NVDA%2FUSD. Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter. Any timestamp within the listed market time frame may be used to view the relevant candle data (e.g., https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.NVDA%2FUSD?t=1773432000).

Limitless

This market will resolve to "Up" if the price for NVIDIA (Pyth NVDA/USD) on July 13, 2026 is strictly higher than the price for NVIDIA (Pyth NVDA/USD) on the most recent prior trading day. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Down". The price for NVIDIA (Pyth NVDA/USD) captured on July 10, 2026 was $210.96500. Resolution source: Pyth NVDA/USD price feed. Other exchanges, spot markets, and oracles will not be used. For example, a Monday market would ordinarily compare Monday's price with the previous Friday's price, unless that Friday was a market holiday. In that case, it would compare against Thursday's price, or the next most recent trading day. If NVIDIA (NVDA) does not trade at all during the regular session on July 13, 2026, this market will resolve to "Down". For a standard full trading session, the price for that trading day refers to the Pyth price at the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If either relevant trading day has no valid Pyth price at the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the last valid Pyth price published during that day's regular trading hours will be used as the effective price for that day. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official price published by the primary exchange on which NVDA is listed will be used to determine the price for that day. In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting NVDA during the relevant time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth.