TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 12, 4:00 PM EST
Polymarket
This market will resolve according to the official closing price for NVIDIA (NVDA) on the final day of trading of the specified week (normally Friday). If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price. In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied. The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the NVIDIA (NVDA) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/NVDA/history, published under "Historical Prices."
This market will resolve according to the official closing price for NVIDIA (NVDA) on the final day of trading of the specified week (normally Friday). If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price. In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied. The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the NVIDIA (NVDA) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/NVDA/history, published under "Historical Prices."
On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Polymarket, NVDA's weekly close is priced as a set of mutually exclusive outcome buckets, each representing a price range or specific level. Traders buy and sell shares in each outcome, and the market price of a share reflects the collective probability assigned to that outcome. As new information emerges—earnings data, guidance revisions, or AI sector developments—traders adjust their positions, moving prices higher or lower. The final settlement price is determined by where NVDA actually closes on the last trading day of the week of June 8, 2026.
The market resolves on Jun 12, 2026, after the close of trading on the final day of the week of June 8, 2026. The outcome is determined by NVDA's official closing price on that date as reported by major financial data providers. Once the closing price is confirmed, the prediction market settles to the outcome bucket or price level that matches the actual close. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome receive their payout, while losing positions expire worthless.
Key catalysts include NVIDIA earnings announcements, guidance updates, and data-center demand signals that affect investor confidence in the AI chip cycle. Broader market moves—interest rate decisions, tech sector rotation, or macroeconomic data—can shift NVDA alongside the Nasdaq. Product announcements or competitive threats from AMD or Intel may also influence sentiment. Geopolitical developments affecting semiconductor supply chains, regulatory changes on AI exports, or major customer wins or losses could trigger sharp repricing. Traders monitor these signals closely to adjust positions ahead of the June 8 close.