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NVIDIA (NVDA) closes week of Jun 29 at ___?
polymarket
limitless

What will NVIDIA (NVDA) close at on June 29?

Volume:
$17,349

$190-$195

 - Polymarket

$190-$195 - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jul 2, 2026

Closed: Jul 3, 4:00 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

$190-$195

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$10,973
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

$195-$200

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,316
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

$175-$180

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,389
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

$185-$190

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$503
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

$205-$210

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$333
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

$180-$185

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$325
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

$200-$205

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$316
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

$215-$220

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$310
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

$210-$215

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$297
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

>$220

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$283
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

<$175

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$275
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
limitless

NVIDIA (NVDA) Up or Down - Weekly

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
10.3¢
N/A
$27
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 12

Description

This event group tracks NVIDIA (NVDA) stock price performance during the week of June 29 – July 3, 2026. Limitless offers a binary Up/Down comparison against the prior week's close, while Polymarket offers granular price-bracket resolution. Both resolve on the final trading day of that week (July 2, 2026).

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Two distinct resolution sources (Pyth vs Yahoo Finance) create potential price divergence. While both resolve on the same date (July 2, 2026), the closing price used may differ due to data feed timing, exchange reporting delays, or technical disruptions.Hero tip: Monitor both Pyth and Yahoo Finance price feeds on July 2, 2026 before market close. If the two sources show materially different closes (>$1 difference), expect potential disputes or clarifications from platforms. Polymarket traders should cross-check the Yahoo Finance historical price page immediately after close. Limitless traders should verify whether Pyth data was available or if the fallback to primary exchange official price was triggered.

Critical divergence points:

  • Limitless: Binary Up/Down resolution based on Pyth NVDA/USD price feed. Compares July 2, 2026 close against June 25, 2026 baseline of $195.63578. Resolves to Down if no trade on July 2. Fallback: primary exchange official closing price if Pyth data unavailable. Key Quote: 'Resolution source: Pyth NVDA/USD price feed. Other exchanges, spot markets, and oracles will not be used.'
  • Polymarket: Price-bracket resolution (10 brackets from <$175 to >$220) based on Yahoo Finance official closing price for July 2, 2026. Ties resolve to higher bracket. Fallback: last valid on-exchange trade price if no official close published. Key Quote: 'The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the NVIDIA (NVDA) Close prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/NVDA/history.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This market will resolve according to the official closing price for NVIDIA (NVDA) on the final day of trading of the specified week (normally Friday). If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price. In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied. The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the NVIDIA (NVDA) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/NVDA/history, published under "Historical Prices."

Limitless

This market will resolve to "Up" if the Close price for NVIDIA (Pyth NVDA/USD) on July 2, 2026 is strictly higher than the Close price for NVIDIA (Pyth NVDA/USD) on June 25, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Down". The Close price for NVIDIA (Pyth NVDA/USD) captured on June 25, 2026, was $195.63578. Resolution source: Pyth NVDA/USD price feed. Other exchanges, spot markets, and oracles will not be used. For example, a weekly Friday market would ordinarily compare that Friday's Close price with the previous Friday's Close price, unless that previous Friday was a market holiday. In that case, it would compare against Thursday's Close price, or the next most recent trading day. If NVIDIA (NVDA) does not trade at all during the regular session on July 2, 2026, this market will resolve to "Down". For a standard full trading session, the Close price refers to the "Close" value of the 1-minute Pyth candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If either relevant trading day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the last valid Pyth price during that day's regular trading hours will be used as the effective Close price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which NVDA is listed will be used to determine the Close price for that day. In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting NVDA during the relevant time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth.

Frequently asked questions

The NVIDIA weekly closing price market aggregates trader predictions across Polymarket and Limitless, capturing real-time consensus on where NVIDIA stock will close during the week ending July 3. Traders on Polymarket are pricing directional movement (up or down), while Limitless participants are narrowing in on specific price bands. Together, these platforms provide a cross-venue snapshot of market sentiment around NVIDIA's weekly performance, with combined activity reflecting both retail and sophisticated trader positioning ahead of the resolution date.

Prediction markets like these operate independently of traditional Wall Street consensus, often diverging significantly from published analyst price targets. While equity research teams issue quarterly outlooks based on fundamental analysis, this market reflects real-money bets placed by traders responding to intraday momentum, earnings surprises, and macro shifts. Prediction market odds tend to update faster than analyst revisions and can reveal asymmetric conviction—traders willing to stake capital on outcomes analysts haven't yet fully priced in. Comparing the two reveals gaps between institutional forecasts and decentralized market intelligence.

Polymarket and Limitless serve different trader bases, use distinct liquidity pools, and may interpret the same underlying event through different contract structures. Polymarket and Limitless can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Polymarket offers a binary up-or-down framework, while Limitless segments the outcome into granular price ranges, attracting traders with different risk appetites and time horizons. Liquidity depth, fee structures, and platform-specific user demographics also create natural price discovery lags. Arbitrage opportunities between the two venues can persist until traders exploit the spread, making cross-platform monitoring valuable for identifying mispricing.

Earnings surprises, product announcements, competitive developments in AI chips, and macroeconomic shifts (interest rates, tech sector rotation) are primary catalysts. Geopolitical tensions affecting semiconductor supply chains, regulatory news around AI export controls, and major customer wins or losses can trigger sharp repricing. Intraday volatility spikes around Fed communications or broader market selloffs often ripple into weekly closing expectations. Trader positioning and options expiration dynamics in the underlying stock also influence this market, as hedging flows and gamma-driven moves reshape near-term price momentum heading into the close.