TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$134,145,987

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,441,166,947

406,422

Markets across

30,383

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,688

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

BETA
Dashboards
Insights
Indices
Tour
All
Trending
Breaking
New
Ending Soon
Politics
Sports
Crypto
Companies
Elections
Financials
Economics
Other
Entertainment
Science and Technology
NVIDIA (NVDA) closes above ___ on June 9?
polymarket

NVIDIA (NVDA) closes above ___ on June 9?

Volume:
$5,160

$200

 - Polymarket

$200 - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jun 9, 2026

Closed: Jun 9, 4:00 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

$200

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$2,391
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

$205

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$1,092
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

$195

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$953
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

$210

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$517
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

$215

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$207
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 5

Description

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official closing price for NVIDIA Corporation (NVDA) on June 9 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." If the final session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price. In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied. The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the NVIDIA Corporation (NVDA) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/NVDA/history, published under "Historical Prices."

Frequently asked questions

The dashboard on Polymarket tracks real-time odds and historical price data for this NVIDIA closing-price event. It displays the current probability that NVDA will close above the specified price level on June 9, along with 24-hour volume metrics at $5,157 to show trader activity and liquidity. The interface logs price movements over time, allowing you to observe how market sentiment shifts as new information emerges. This single-venue view gives you a transparent window into how prediction market participants are pricing NVIDIA's near-term stock performance.

The market resolves on Jun 9, 2026, after the close of regular trading on June 9. Resolution hinges on NVIDIA's official closing price on that date: if the stock finishes above the specified threshold, the outcome is yes; if it closes at or below, the outcome is no. The exact closing price is typically sourced from major financial data providers to ensure accuracy and prevent disputes. Once the market resolves, winning positions are credited and losing positions expire worthless, settling all open trades.

Several catalysts could shift NVIDIA's stock price and thus the market odds. Quarterly earnings announcements, guidance revisions, or data-center demand updates directly impact investor sentiment. Broader semiconductor sector news—supply chain disruptions, geopolitical export restrictions, or competitor product launches—often moves the entire chip complex. Macroeconomic events like interest-rate decisions or inflation data influence tech valuations. AI adoption trends, cloud-spending forecasts, and large customer announcements (cloud providers, enterprises) are closely watched by traders. Real-time news flow and technical chart patterns near the June 9 close can create sharp intraday volatility in both the stock and the prediction market contract.