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Science and Technology
NVIDIA (NVDA) closes above ___ on July 8?
polymarket

NVIDIA (NVDA) closes above ___ on July 8?

Volume:
$11,612

$195

 - Polymarket

$195 - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jul 8, 2026

Closed: Jul 8, 4:00 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

$195

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$9,165
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

$200

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$1,965
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

$190

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$220
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

$185

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$142
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

$180

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$120
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 5

Description

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Close price for NVIDIA (NVDA) on July 8, 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." If the two specified prices are exactly equal, this market will resolve to "No". Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding. If NVIDIA (NVDA) does not trade at all during the regular session, the market will resolve 50-50. For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If the specified day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day. If the listed date is not a trading day under the applicable trading-hours schedule as listed on Pyth, this market will resolve 50-50. In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied. The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.NVDA%2FUSD.

Polymarket

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Close price for NVIDIA (NVDA) on July 8, 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." If the two specified prices are exactly equal, this market will resolve to "No". Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding. If NVIDIA (NVDA) does not trade at all during the regular session, the market will resolve 50-50. For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If the specified day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day. If the listed date is not a trading day under the applicable trading-hours schedule as listed on Pyth, this market will resolve 50-50. In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied. The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.NVDA%2FUSD.

Frequently asked questions

The NVIDIA stock price market dashboard on Polymarket displays real-time odds and historical price data for whether NVDA will close above a specified threshold on July 8. Traders can monitor the current probability estimate, recent price movements, and cumulative trading activity to gauge market sentiment around the stock's performance on that date. This dashboard provides a transparent view of how participants are pricing the likelihood of the outcome, updated continuously as new trades execute.

Prediction market odds reflect real-money bets from traders and often diverge from traditional analyst price targets or consensus estimates. While Wall Street analysts publish forward-looking valuations based on fundamental research, this market aggregates the collective judgment of participants who have direct financial incentive to forecast accurately. Comparing the implied probability here to published analyst sentiment can reveal whether the crowd expects NVDA to outperform or underperform consensus expectations by the resolution date.

On Polymarket, traders buy and sell shares representing "yes" or "no" outcomes, with prices ranging from $0 to $1 and reflecting the probability each side will occur. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market price adjusts dynamically based on order flow; as more capital flows into one outcome, its price rises and the opposing outcome's price falls. This continuous price discovery mechanism ensures the odds remain responsive to new information and shifting trader conviction about NVDA's closing price on the specified date.

This market resolves around Jul 8, 2026, once the trading window closes and the event outcome is verifiable from credible public sources. The resolution hinges on whether NVDA's official closing price on July 8 exceeds the threshold specified in the market title. Participants should monitor official financial data feeds and market announcements leading up to that date to assess their positions.

Key catalysts include NVIDIA earnings reports, product announcements, semiconductor industry trends, macroeconomic data affecting tech valuations, and broader market volatility. Geopolitical developments, regulatory changes affecting chip exports, and competitive pressures from rivals can also shift trader expectations around the stock's near-term direction. Real-time news flow, analyst upgrades or downgrades, and shifts in AI investment sentiment may trigger rapid repricing as participants reassess the probability of the closing price target.