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Science and Technology
NVIDIA (NVDA) closes above ___ on July 20?
polymarket

NVIDIA (NVDA) closes above ___ on July 20?

Volume:
$5,604

$190

 - Polymarket

$190 - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jul 20, 2026

Closed: Jul 20, 4:00 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

$190

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$483
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

$195

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$476
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

$200

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$174
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

$205

View
0%
Yes 0.1¢No 99.9¢
—
N/A
$4,202
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

$210

View
0%
Yes 0.1¢No 99.9¢
—
N/A
$268
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 5

Description

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Close price for NVIDIA (NVDA) on July 20, 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." If the two specified prices are exactly equal, this market will resolve to "No". Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding. If NVIDIA (NVDA) does not trade at all during the regular session, the market will resolve 50-50. For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If the specified day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day. If the listed date is not a trading day under the applicable trading-hours schedule as listed on Pyth, this market will resolve 50-50. In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied. The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.NVDA%2FUSD.

Polymarket

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Close price for NVIDIA (NVDA) on July 20, 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." If the two specified prices are exactly equal, this market will resolve to "No". Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding. If NVIDIA (NVDA) does not trade at all during the regular session, the market will resolve 50-50. For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If the specified day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day. If the listed date is not a trading day under the applicable trading-hours schedule as listed on Pyth, this market will resolve 50-50. In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied. The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.NVDA%2FUSD.

Frequently asked questions

The NVIDIA stock price market dashboard on Polymarket tracks real-time odds and historical price movements for whether NVDA will close above a specified price level on July 20. The interface displays current market probability, 24-hour volume, and order-book depth, allowing traders to monitor sentiment shifts as the event date approaches. This dashboard aggregates all trading activity within the NVIDIA stock price market, giving participants a transparent view of how the crowd is pricing the likelihood of the outcome. Volume metrics help traders gauge market confidence and liquidity available at different price points.

Prediction market odds often diverge from traditional analyst price targets because they reflect real-money incentives and crowd wisdom rather than consensus estimates. While Wall Street analysts publish formal forecasts based on fundamental analysis, this market aggregates the beliefs of traders who have skin in the game. Analysts may issue targets months in advance, whereas prediction markets update continuously as new information emerges. Comparing the two can reveal whether the crowd expects near-term catalysts—such as earnings surprises or macroeconomic shifts—that analysts have not yet fully priced in.

On Polymarket, this market is priced through an automated market maker that converts trader buy and sell orders into real-time probabilities. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders purchase shares representing "yes" or "no" outcomes, and the price of each share reflects the crowd's collective belief in that outcome. As more capital flows into one side, the price adjusts automatically, incentivizing arbitrage and keeping the market efficient. The final price at any moment represents the marginal trader's willingness to bet at that level.

This market resolves around Jul 20, 2026, once the trading window closes and the event outcome is verifiable from credible public sources. The outcome is determined by whether NVDA's closing price on that date meets or exceeds the specified threshold. Traders who backed the correct outcome receive their payout based on the odds at which they entered. Resolution is typically confirmed within hours of market close, after official price data is published.

Major catalysts for NVDA include quarterly earnings announcements, guidance revisions, AI chip demand trends, and competitive developments in semiconductor manufacturing. Macroeconomic events—such as Federal Reserve policy shifts or tech sector rotations—can also drive broad stock-market moves that affect chip stocks. Geopolitical tensions affecting semiconductor supply chains, regulatory changes around AI exports, and announcements from major customers like cloud providers can trigger sharp repricing. Real-time news flow and options-market activity often precede prediction market moves, making it valuable to monitor financial media and derivatives markets closely.