TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$113,466,932

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,423,222,590

402,751

Markets across

30,217

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,632

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

BETA
Dashboards
Insights
Indices
Tour
All
Trending
Breaking
New
Ending Soon
Politics
Sports
Crypto
Companies
Elections
Financials
Economics
Other
Entertainment
Science and Technology
NVIDIA (NVDA) closes above ___ on July 2?
polymarket

NVIDIA (NVDA) closes above ___ on July 2?

Volume:
$14,395

$190

 - Polymarket

$190 - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jul 2, 2026

Closed: Jul 2, 4:00 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

$190

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$851
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

$195

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$11,778
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

$200

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,526
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

$210

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$120
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

$205

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$120
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 5

Description

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official closing price for NVIDIA Corporation (NVDA) on July 2 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." If the final session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price. In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied. The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the NVIDIA Corporation (NVDA) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/NVDA/history, published under "Historical Prices."

Polymarket

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official closing price for NVIDIA Corporation (NVDA) on July 2 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." If the final session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price. In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied. The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the NVIDIA Corporation (NVDA) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/NVDA/history, published under "Historical Prices."

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket, the NVIDIA stock price market dashboard displays real-time odds and historical price data for whether NVDA will close above a specified threshold on July 2. Traders can monitor the current probability implied by active positions, review 24-hour volume activity, and track how sentiment has shifted since the market opened. This dashboard gives you a live snapshot of what the prediction market community expects for that closing price level, updated continuously as new trades execute.

Prediction market odds often diverge from traditional analyst price targets because they reflect real-money incentives and crowd wisdom rather than individual research calls. While Wall Street analysts may issue quarterly forecasts based on fundamental models, this market aggregates the collective bets of traders who stand to gain or lose based on the actual outcome. Both sources offer value: analysts provide detailed reasoning, while prediction markets reveal what informed participants genuinely believe will happen on the resolution date.

On Polymarket, traders set prices through an automated market maker or order book, with each share representing a claim on the outcome. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current odds reflect the ratio of capital backing each side—higher prices indicate stronger belief in that outcome occurring. As new information emerges or trader conviction shifts, prices adjust in real time, and you can enter or exit positions at the prevailing market rate.

This market resolves around Jul 2, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. At that point, the market will settle based on whether NVDA's closing price meets or exceeds the specified threshold. Traders holding the winning outcome receive their payout, while losing positions expire worthless.

Major catalysts include NVIDIA's earnings reports, data center demand trends, AI adoption rates, and competitive pressures from AMD or other chipmakers. Macroeconomic shifts—interest rate changes, tech sector rotation, or recession concerns—can also drive semiconductor stocks sharply. Geopolitical developments affecting chip exports, supply chain disruptions, or regulatory announcements may trigger volatility. Real-time news on AI spending, cloud infrastructure investments, and NVIDIA's guidance will likely move trader conviction and shift odds leading up to the close on July 2.