TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$141,541,542

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,440,096,988

406,065

Markets across

30,522

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,692

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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NVIDIA (NVDA) above … on September 28?
opinion

NVIDIA (NVDA) above … on September 28?

Volume:
$0

215

 - Opinion

215 - Opinion

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 29, 2026

Closed: Sep 28, 11:04 PM EST

opinion

Opinion

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
opinion

215

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
opinion

220

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
opinion

225

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
opinion

230

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
opinion

235

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 5

Description

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official "Close" price for NVIDIA (NVDA) on the trading day specified in the title is strictly higher than the price specified in the title. A "Close" exactly equal to the specified price resolves to "No". If the market is not open on the specified day (exchange holiday or unscheduled closure), or NVIDIA (NVDA) does not trade at all during that day's regular session, this market resolves 50-50 — each side is paid at half value; this is not a refund. In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting NVIDIA (NVDA), this market resolves on split-adjusted prices, and the price specified in the title is adjusted proportionally. The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the NVIDIA (NVDA) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/NVDA/ under "Historical Prices". If that data is unavailable due to an outage or other technical disruption, the official price published by the primary exchange on which NVIDIA (NVDA) trades governs.

Opinion

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official "Close" price for NVIDIA (NVDA) on the trading day specified in the title is strictly higher than the price specified in the title. A "Close" exactly equal to the specified price resolves to "No". If the market is not open on the specified day (exchange holiday or unscheduled closure), or NVIDIA (NVDA) does not trade at all during that day's regular session, this market resolves 50-50 — each side is paid at half value; this is not a refund. In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting NVIDIA (NVDA), this market resolves on split-adjusted prices, and the price specified in the title is adjusted proportionally. The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the NVIDIA (NVDA) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/NVDA/ under "Historical Prices". If that data is unavailable due to an outage or other technical disruption, the official price published by the primary exchange on which NVIDIA (NVDA) trades governs.

Frequently asked questions

On Opinion, the dashboard for the NVIDIA stock market tracks the current odds of the stock price being above a certain level on September 28, 2026. You’ll find the implied probability of various outcomes, a price history chart visualizing how the market has moved over time, and the 24-hour trading volume, currently at $0. Total volume for this market is $0. This allows traders to quickly assess market sentiment and activity surrounding NVIDIA's future performance.

Currently, prediction market odds reflect a different perspective than many traditional analyst forecasts for NVIDIA. While analysts often provide price targets based on fundamental analysis, this market aggregates the wisdom of the crowd, representing what traders believe will *actually* happen. Discrepancies can arise due to differing assumptions, risk tolerance, or access to information. It's important to consider both sources of information when forming an opinion on NVIDIA's future stock price, as this market offers a real-time, incentivized forecast.

On Opinion, this market is priced through a continuous auction where traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about whether NVIDIA’s stock will be above a certain price on the resolution date. The price of these contracts directly reflects the probability of that outcome, as perceived by the market participants. On Opinion, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Price movements are driven by supply and demand; increased buying pressure raises the price, indicating growing confidence, while increased selling pressure lowers it. This dynamic pricing mechanism creates a constantly updated forecast.

This market resolves around Sep 28, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the resolution will depend on whether the closing price of NVIDIA stock on September 28, 2026, is above the specified threshold. The final price will be determined by publicly available financial data, ensuring a transparent and objective outcome. Traders should monitor news and financial reports leading up to this date to stay informed about potential catalysts.

Several signals or events could significantly move this market before its resolution. Major announcements from NVIDIA regarding new products, earnings reports, or changes in leadership would likely have a substantial impact. Broader economic factors, such as interest rate changes or shifts in the technology sector, could also influence trader sentiment. Unexpected news related to competitors or regulatory changes affecting the semiconductor industry could also cause fluctuations in the NVIDIA stock market. Monitoring these factors will be key to understanding potential price movements.