TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
210
- Opinion
210 - Opinion
1W
News
Positive
Negative
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Vol.
·
Resolved Aug 25, 2026
Latest in Companies
Closed: Aug 24, 11:03 PM EST
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Opinion
Description
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official "Close" price for NVIDIA (NVDA) on the trading day specified in the title is strictly higher than the price specified in the title. A "Close" exactly equal to the specified price resolves to "No". If the market is not open on the specified day (exchange holiday or unscheduled closure), or NVIDIA (NVDA) does not trade at all during that day's regular session, this market resolves 50-50 — each side is paid at half value; this is not a refund. In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting NVIDIA (NVDA), this market resolves on split-adjusted prices, and the price specified in the title is adjusted proportionally. The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the NVIDIA (NVDA) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/NVDA/ under "Historical Prices". If that data is unavailable due to an outage or other technical disruption, the official price published by the primary exchange on which NVIDIA (NVDA) trades governs.
Opinion
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official "Close" price for NVIDIA (NVDA) on the trading day specified in the title is strictly higher than the price specified in the title. A "Close" exactly equal to the specified price resolves to "No". If the market is not open on the specified day (exchange holiday or unscheduled closure), or NVIDIA (NVDA) does not trade at all during that day's regular session, this market resolves 50-50 — each side is paid at half value; this is not a refund. In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting NVIDIA (NVDA), this market resolves on split-adjusted prices, and the price specified in the title is adjusted proportionally. The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the NVIDIA (NVDA) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/NVDA/ under "Historical Prices". If that data is unavailable due to an outage or other technical disruption, the official price published by the primary exchange on which NVIDIA (NVDA) trades governs.
Frequently asked questions
On Opinion, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Opinion, traders actively buy and sell contracts representing possible outcomes, with the current implied probability reflecting supply and demand dynamics. The market price adjusts instantly to new information, such as analyst upgrades, investor sentiment shifts, or related tech-sector news. This mechanism lets participants express expectations about NVIDIA’s share performance in a liquid, speculative environment.
This market resolves around Aug 24, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Traders will watch closing prices on reliable exchanges for the specified date to determine whether NVIDIA’s stock ends above the relevant threshold, settling all positions accordingly.
Key signals include NVIDIA’s upcoming earnings releases, product launches, regulatory updates, or broader movements in the semiconductor industry. Macro factors like interest-rate decisions, tech-sector performance, and investor risk appetite also influence this market. Any surprise guidance or market reaction can shift trader sentiment and dramatically change odds before Aug 24, 2026.
