TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
215
- Opinion
215 - Opinion
1W
News
Positive
Negative
Neutral
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Vol.
·
Resolved Aug 18, 2026
Latest in Companies
Closed: Aug 17, 11:04 PM EST
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Opinion
Description
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official "Close" price for NVIDIA (NVDA) on the trading day specified in the title is strictly higher than the price specified in the title. A "Close" exactly equal to the specified price resolves to "No". If the market is not open on the specified day (exchange holiday or unscheduled closure), or NVIDIA (NVDA) does not trade at all during that day's regular session, this market resolves 50-50 — each side is paid at half value; this is not a refund. In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting NVIDIA (NVDA), this market resolves on split-adjusted prices, and the price specified in the title is adjusted proportionally. The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the NVIDIA (NVDA) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/NVDA/ under "Historical Prices". If that data is unavailable due to an outage or other technical disruption, the official price published by the primary exchange on which NVIDIA (NVDA) trades governs.
Opinion
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official "Close" price for NVIDIA (NVDA) on the trading day specified in the title is strictly higher than the price specified in the title. A "Close" exactly equal to the specified price resolves to "No". If the market is not open on the specified day (exchange holiday or unscheduled closure), or NVIDIA (NVDA) does not trade at all during that day's regular session, this market resolves 50-50 — each side is paid at half value; this is not a refund. In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting NVIDIA (NVDA), this market resolves on split-adjusted prices, and the price specified in the title is adjusted proportionally. The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the NVIDIA (NVDA) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/NVDA/ under "Historical Prices". If that data is unavailable due to an outage or other technical disruption, the official price published by the primary exchange on which NVIDIA (NVDA) trades governs.
Frequently asked questions
On Opinion, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Opinion, traders manually set the odds for this market based on their expectations for NVDA’s closing price on August 17. The current probability reflects a balance of buy and sell orders, with volume of $0 indicating liquidity. Traders can adjust positions as new data emerges, driving price shifts that may differ from broader market sentiment or analyst opinion.
This market resolves around Aug 17, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, it settles based on NVIDIA’s official closing price on that day, compared against the defined threshold. No further interpretation is needed — the market simply reflects whether the price ends above or below that level.
Several signals could shift this market before August 17. Key catalysts include NVIDIA’s next earnings release, any major product announcements or delays, geopolitical or macroeconomic developments affecting tech stocks, and broader market volatility. Additionally, analyst upgrades or downgrades, institutional trading activity, and sector-wide news can all influence trader sentiment and adjust the odds rapidly in either direction.
