TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$113,466,932

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,423,222,590

402,751

Markets across

30,217

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,632

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Science and Technology
NVIDIA H200 Compute Price Up or Down by Aug 21, 2026?
kalshi

NVIDIA H200 Compute Price Up or Down by Aug 21, 2026?

Volume:
$3,304

Price to Beat: 4.86

 - Kalshi

Price to Beat: 4.86 - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 21, 2026

Closed: Aug 21, 5:00 PM EST

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Price to Beat: 4.86

View
100%
1%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$3,304
N/A
N/A
$1,600
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 1

Description

This market tracks if the hourly rental cost for an H200 computing unit surpasses $4.86 by August 2026. It gauges expectations around the adoption of advanced AI accelerators in data centers and research labs. Outcomes depend on manufacturing scales and competitive pricing strategies from hardware vendors.

Kalshi

If the value of H200 compute per hour is above 4.86 on Aug 21, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, this dashboard tracks the latest odds, price history, and 24-hour volume for the NVIDIA H200 price market. It shows how traders on Kalshi are positioning around whether the price will be up or down by Aug 21, 2026. The interface updates in real time, reflecting $3,304 in total volume and $0 over the past day.

This market resolves around Aug 21, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Traders will watch official announcements, earnings calls, and supply chain updates that could affect the final price direction. The result is determined by comparing the closing price of the NVIDIA H200 to its price at the market’s opening.

Several signals could shift this market before Aug 21, 2026. Earnings reports from NVIDIA, changes in AI hardware demand, regulatory updates, or new competitor releases may all influence trader sentiment. Additionally, macro factors such as interest rate decisions or broader tech sector performance could affect expectations for the H200’s market valuation, driving volume and price adjustments on Kalshi.