TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 21, 5:00 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks if the hourly rental cost for an H200 computing unit surpasses $4.86 by August 2026. It gauges expectations around the adoption of advanced AI accelerators in data centers and research labs. Outcomes depend on manufacturing scales and competitive pricing strategies from hardware vendors.
If the value of H200 compute per hour is above 4.86 on Aug 21, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
This market resolves around Aug 21, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Traders will watch official announcements, earnings calls, and supply chain updates that could affect the final price direction. The result is determined by comparing the closing price of the NVIDIA H200 to its price at the market’s opening.
Several signals could shift this market before Aug 21, 2026. Earnings reports from NVIDIA, changes in AI hardware demand, regulatory updates, or new competitor releases may all influence trader sentiment. Additionally, macro factors such as interest rate decisions or broader tech sector performance could affect expectations for the H200’s market valuation, driving volume and price adjustments on Kalshi.