TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 18, 4:00 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets tracks potential future pricing trends for NVIDIA H100 computing power by evaluating whether hourly rates exceed various thresholds on a specific date. It reflects speculation around technological demand and supply dynamics influencing computational costs.
All markets resolve based on the NVIDIA H100 compute price per hour at 4 PM ET on September 18, 2026, as reported by Ornn. If Ornn does not publish data for that exact time, the most recent available data prior to expiration will be used. Post-expiration revisions to the underlying data are disregarded. All values are evaluated in USD and rounded to two decimal places. Each market has a specific threshold: if the reported price exceeds the threshold (e.g., $1.00, $1.25, up to $4.00), the market resolves to Yes; otherwise, it resolves to No.
Currently, this market’s implied probability—derived from trader activity—can diverge noticeably from traditional analyst forecasts. While analysts may publish their own price targets or projections, the odds here capture real-time betting sentiment and may react more quickly to breaking news, technical updates, or shifts in supply-demand dynamics. Comparing the two offers a useful contrast between consensus projections and actionable market intelligence, helping traders spot potential mispricings or emerging trends.
This market resolves around Sep 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final hourly price will be determined by authoritative market data sources at the specified time, and the result will be declared based on that verified figure. Traders should monitor official announcements and reliable data feeds as the resolution date approaches to anticipate any last-minute shifts.
Several signals could influence this market in the coming weeks, including major announcements from NVIDIA about H100 availability, pricing adjustments, or changes in cloud-service demand. Macroeconomic factors, such as shifts in semiconductor supply chains or energy costs, may also affect hourly pricing. Additionally, competitive moves by rival AI-chip providers or significant news around AI adoption rates could sway trader sentiment and shift odds before Sep 18, 2026.