TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$133,388,117

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,436,095,462

405,232

Markets across

30,526

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,693

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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NVIDIA B200 · Hourly price on Sep 25 (Week 39)
kalshi

NVIDIA B200 · Hourly price on Sep 25 (Week 39)

Volume:
$21,231

Above $6.50

 - Kalshi

Above $6.50 - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 25, 2026

Closed: Sep 25, 4:00 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Above $6.50

View
100%
1%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$4,970
N/A
N/A
$2,237
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above $5.00

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$3,505
N/A
N/A
$3,379
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above $4.50

100%
1%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$2,531
N/A
N/A
$2,131
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above $5.50

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$2,412
N/A
N/A
$1,602
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above $6.00

100%
3%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$2,307
N/A
N/A
$1,627
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above $3.00

100%
1%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1,000
N/A
N/A
$1,000
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above $3.50

100%
1%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1,000
N/A
N/A
$1,000
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above $4.00

100%
1%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1,000
N/A
N/A
$1,000
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above $7.50

100%
21%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$469
N/A
N/A
$449
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above $8.00

100%
85%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$328
N/A
N/A
$188
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above $7.00

100%
5%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$308
N/A
N/A
$291
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above $9.00

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$800
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Above $8.50

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$600
N/A
N/A
$400
Settled
No
Total markets: 13

Description

These markets track potential future pricing levels for NVIDIA B200 compute power, allowing participants to speculate on whether hourly rates will exceed various thresholds by a specific date and time. The outcomes depend on actual market data reported by a designated source.

Kalshi

All markets resolve based on the NVIDIA B200 compute per hour value as reported by Ornn at 4 PM ET on September 25, 2026. If Ornn does not publish data for that exact date and time, the most recently available published data will be used for resolution. Post-expiration revisions to the underlying data are disregarded. All values refer to the USD iteration of the index and are rounded to two decimal places. Each market has a specific threshold price; if the reported value exceeds that threshold, the market resolves to Yes, otherwise No.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the dashboard for the NVIDIA B200 price market tracks the current implied price of the NVIDIA B200 compute per hour, alongside the trading volume and open interest. You can also view the price history, allowing you to analyze trends and potential patterns. Currently, the 24-hour volume is $399, and the total volume traded to date is $21,231. The dashboard provides a real-time view of where traders believe the price will be on September 25th, offering insights into market sentiment.

Currently, the prevailing sentiment in this market suggests a high probability that the NVIDIA B200 compute per hour price will be above $6.5 at 4 PM ET on September 25th. This contrasts with traditional analyst forecasts, which often rely on modeling and historical data. Prediction markets, however, incorporate a wider range of information, including expert opinions, insider knowledge, and real-time events. While analyst forecasts provide valuable insights, this market offers a unique perspective based on the collective wisdom of traders.

This market resolves around Sep 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the NVIDIA B200 compute per hour price at 4 PM ET on September 25th is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on a publicly available and trusted source for this pricing data. Traders will then be paid out based on their positions in the market, reflecting whether their predictions aligned with the actual price at the specified time. The final price will determine the winners and losers in this market.

Several factors could significantly impact this market. Any major announcements from NVIDIA regarding the B200, including production updates, performance benchmarks, or pricing changes, would likely cause substantial movement. Broader economic news, particularly related to the semiconductor industry or artificial intelligence, could also influence trading activity. Unexpected shifts in supply chain dynamics or geopolitical events affecting NVIDIA's operations are additional catalysts to watch. Ultimately, any information that alters perceptions of the B200's future price could move this market.