TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 25, 4:00 PM EST
Kalshi
These markets track potential future pricing levels for NVIDIA B200 compute power, allowing participants to speculate on whether hourly rates will exceed various thresholds by a specific date and time. The outcomes depend on actual market data reported by a designated source.
All markets resolve based on the NVIDIA B200 compute per hour value as reported by Ornn at 4 PM ET on September 25, 2026. If Ornn does not publish data for that exact date and time, the most recently available published data will be used for resolution. Post-expiration revisions to the underlying data are disregarded. All values refer to the USD iteration of the index and are rounded to two decimal places. Each market has a specific threshold price; if the reported value exceeds that threshold, the market resolves to Yes, otherwise No.
Currently, the prevailing sentiment in this market suggests a high probability that the NVIDIA B200 compute per hour price will be above $6.5 at 4 PM ET on September 25th. This contrasts with traditional analyst forecasts, which often rely on modeling and historical data. Prediction markets, however, incorporate a wider range of information, including expert opinions, insider knowledge, and real-time events. While analyst forecasts provide valuable insights, this market offers a unique perspective based on the collective wisdom of traders.
This market resolves around Sep 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the NVIDIA B200 compute per hour price at 4 PM ET on September 25th is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on a publicly available and trusted source for this pricing data. Traders will then be paid out based on their positions in the market, reflecting whether their predictions aligned with the actual price at the specified time. The final price will determine the winners and losers in this market.
Several factors could significantly impact this market. Any major announcements from NVIDIA regarding the B200, including production updates, performance benchmarks, or pricing changes, would likely cause substantial movement. Broader economic news, particularly related to the semiconductor industry or artificial intelligence, could also influence trading activity. Unexpected shifts in supply chain dynamics or geopolitical events affecting NVIDIA's operations are additional catalysts to watch. Ultimately, any information that alters perceptions of the B200's future price could move this market.