TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$103,397,351
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,410,176,180
399,592
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,622
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 18, 4:00 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets tracks potential future pricing levels for NVIDIA B200 compute services, focusing on hourly rates during a specific week in 2026. Each market evaluates whether the compute price exceeds a particular threshold at a set time, reflecting expectations about technological demand and supply dynamics.
All markets resolve based on the NVIDIA B200 compute per hour value at 4 PM ET on September 18, 2026, as reported by Ornn (https://dashboard.ornnai.com/). If Ornn does not publish data for that exact time, the most recent available data prior to the expiration will be used. Post-expiration revisions to the underlying data are disregarded. All values refer to the USD iteration of the index and are rounded to two decimal places. Each market has a specific threshold (e.g., above $3.00, $3.50, etc.), and resolves to "Yes" if the reported value exceeds its respective threshold at the specified time and data source.
Currently, this market’s odds reflect trader expectations for the NVIDIA B200’s hourly price, which can diverge from traditional analyst forecasts. Analysts often consider factors like earnings reports, product launches, and broader market trends, while prediction market participants may react more quickly to real-time news and sentiment shifts. Comparing the two can provide a nuanced view of both institutional and retail investor outlooks.
On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where buyers and sellers post their bids and offers. The displayed probability represents the aggregated expectations of all participants, adjusting dynamically with each trade. Market depth and liquidity influence price discovery, and Kalshi’s fee structure also affects how traders place orders.
This market resolves around Sep 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final price will be determined by authoritative financial data sources at the specified time, ensuring an objective and transparent resolution process for all participants.
Several signals could impact this market before Sep 18, 2026, including unexpected earnings announcements, geopolitical developments affecting tech stocks, changes in interest rates, or major developments from NVIDIA itself such as product delays or launches. Traders will also watch broader market volatility and any shifts in investor sentiment toward AI-related technologies, all of which can influence expectations for the NVIDIA B200’s hourly price.