TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$133,388,117

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,436,095,462

405,232

Markets across

30,526

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,693

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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NVIDIA A100 · Hourly price on Sep 25 (Week 39)
kalshi

NVIDIA A100 · Hourly price on Sep 25 (Week 39)

Volume:
$37,492

Above $1.00

 - Kalshi

Above $1.00 - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 25, 2026

Closed: Sep 25, 4:00 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Above $1.00

View
100%
40%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$27,910
N/A
N/A
$6,142
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above $0.75

100%
1%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$3,178
N/A
N/A
$1,954
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above $0.60

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1,069
N/A
N/A
$1,069
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above $0.30

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1,065
N/A
N/A
$1,065
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above $0.40

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1,014
N/A
N/A
$1,014
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above $0.50

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1,014
N/A
N/A
$1,014
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above $2.00

0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,202
N/A
N/A
$1,201
Settled
No
kalshi

Above $1.50

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$620
N/A
N/A
$610
Settled
No
kalshi

Above $1.25

0%
4%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$420
N/A
N/A
$336
Settled
No
kalshi

Above $1.75

N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 10

Description

This set of markets tracks potential future pricing trends for NVIDIA A100 computing power, allowing participants to speculate on whether hourly rates will surpass various thresholds by a specific date. The outcomes depend on actual market data from a defined source at a set time, reflecting broader trends in AI compute demand and pricing dynamics.

Kalshi

All markets resolve based on the NVIDIA A100 compute price per hour at 4 PM ET on September 25, 2026, as reported by Ornn (https://dashboard.ornnai.com/). If Ornn does not publish data for that exact date and time, the most recent available price before expiration will be used. Post-expiration revisions to the data are ignored. All prices are evaluated in USD and rounded to two decimal places. Each market has a specific threshold: if the reported price exceeds the threshold (e.g., $0.30, $0.40, etc.), the corresponding market resolves to Yes; otherwise, it resolves to No. The structure allows multiple thresholds to be assessed simultaneously, each operating under the same data verification and resolution framework.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the dashboard tracks the latest odds, price history, and 24-hour volume for the A100 hourly price market. It shows how traders on this venue are pricing the expected hourly cost of NVIDIA A100 compute resources as of Sep 25, 2026. You can see current sentiment through chance percentages and monitor trading activity via volume of $37,492 over time.

On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, traders actively set prices through continuous bidding and asking, which determines the current implied probability. The market price adjusts based on order book depth, recent trades, and overall volume of $7,919 in the last 24 hours. This dynamic pricing captures collective trader expectations about the future hourly price of A100 compute resources.

This market resolves around Sep 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final hourly price will be determined by authoritative market data sources at that specific time, closing all positions based on the actual observed value.

Key signals include official announcements from NVIDIA about production or pricing changes, shifts in AI industry demand, regulatory updates affecting data center operations, and macroeconomic factors influencing compute costs. Any unexpected surge or dip in related technology markets could also cause rapid repricing in this market as traders adjust their expectations ahead of Sep 25, 2026.