TOTAL VOLUME:

$134b

24H VOL:

$103,397,351

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,410,176,180

399,592

Markets across

30,097

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,622

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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NVIDIA A100 · Hourly price on Sep 18 (Week 38)
kalshi

NVIDIA A100 · Hourly price on Sep 18 (Week 38)

Volume:
$31,780

Above $0.75

 - Kalshi

Above $0.75 - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 18, 2026

Closed: Sep 18, 4:00 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Above $0.75

View
100%
3%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$5,669
N/A
N/A
$5,469
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above $0.60

100%
1%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$282
N/A
N/A
$230
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above $1.00

0%
38%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$24,834
N/A
N/A
$3,306
Settled
No
kalshi

Above $1.25

0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$405
N/A
N/A
$305
Settled
No
kalshi

Above $2.00

0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$328
N/A
N/A
$311
Settled
No
kalshi

Above $1.75

0%
2%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$250
N/A
N/A
$250
Settled
No
kalshi

Above $1.50

0%
2%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$11
N/A
N/A
$11
Settled
No
kalshi

Above $0.30

N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above $0.40

N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above $0.50

N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 10

Description

This tracks the hourly cost of renting an NVIDIA A100 computing unit on a specific date, reflecting potential trends in cloud computing expenses. The outcome depends on whether the price meets or exceeds various thresholds, offering insight into economic conditions affecting AI and high-performance computing infrastructure.

Kalshi

All markets resolve based on the NVIDIA A100 compute price per hour at 4 PM ET on September 18, 2026, as reported by Ornn. If Ornn does not publish data for that exact time, the most recent available price before the expiration will be used. Post-expiration revisions to the data are ignored, and all prices are considered in USD, rounded to two decimal places. Each market has a specific threshold; if the price meets or exceeds that threshold, the market resolves to Yes, otherwise No.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, this dashboard tracks the real-time odds, price history, and 24-hour volume for short_topic. It shows how traders on Kalshi are pricing the expected hourly price of the A100 for the specified date. The display includes current market sentiment through probability percentages and total trading volume of $31,780, giving you a snapshot of participant expectations and activity levels as the event approaches.

Odds from this market often reflect a blend of immediate market sentiment and short-term expectations, which can diverge from longer-term analyst forecasts. While analysts may consider broader economic indicators and company performance trends, traders in this market react quickly to news, inventory data, and supply-chain updates, sometimes leading to more volatile or contrarian pricing.

This market resolves around Sep 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final price will be determined by authoritative financial data sources tracking the actual hourly price of the A100 on that specific date, ensuring an objective and transparent resolution process.

Several factors could shift expectations in this market before it resolves on Sep 18, 2026. Announcements about major tech deployments, supply chain updates, or energy cost changes for A100 processing power can influence trader sentiment. Broader cryptocurrency market volatility, regulatory news impacting AI compute usage, and unexpected macroeconomic shifts may also affect pricing. Any data indicating stronger or weaker demand for GPU hours will be closely watched by participants.