TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 11, 4:00 PM EST
Kalshi
This tracks the hourly cost of renting an NVIDIA A100 computing unit on a specific date, reflecting potential trends in cloud computing expenses. The focus is on whether pricing reaches various thresholds, offering insight into the evolving economics of AI infrastructure.
Each market resolves based on whether the NVIDIA A100 compute hourly price exceeds a specific threshold at 4 PM ET on September 11, 2026, as reported by Ornn. If Ornn does not publish data for that exact time, the most recent available data prior to the deadline will be used. Post-expiration revisions to the data source are disregarded, and all values are evaluated in USD, rounded to two decimal places. The outcome for each threshold is determined independently, meaning a higher threshold market can resolve as 'No' even if a lower threshold market resolves as 'Yes.'
This market resolves around Sep 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the hourly price of NVIDIA A100 compute resources is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final price used for settlement will be the officially recorded rate at that exact timestamp, reflecting real-world market conditions at the time. No predictions or estimates are involved — only the actual price.
Several signals could shift this market before Sep 11, 2026. Announcements about new data-center contracts, changes in cloud-service pricing strategies, or unexpected shifts in cryptocurrency mining demand — which heavily uses A100 chips — might cause rapid moves. Additionally, any disruption in global shipping or manufacturing could tighten supply and push prices higher, while improvements in chip yield or new efficiency standards could have the opposite effect.